Sunday Squeeze · NFL Week 5

Matchup Sheet

Every Week 5 game: kickoffs, spreads and totals, weather, who’s out, touchdown chances, player ranks and touchdown droughts, and the numbers for every position. Our bets go up Thursday night; first-TD picks later in the week.

Games already played stay on the page as they looked before kickoff, with the final score and our bets graded. Pick a game in the bar at the top to jump straight to it; the bar stays pinned as you scroll. The filter under “Find a game” shows only what’s still to play or the games we bet.

Updated Sun Oct 11, 3:48 PM CT · game lines Sun 7:30 AM · player lines Sun 7:00 AM · TD odds Sun 7:00 AM · weather Sun 3:30 PM · injuries Sun 7:30 AM CT · bet results 3:48 PM

How our bets are doing

Every bet on our card, graded from the scores. This section updates after each game ends; last updated Sunday 3:48 PM CT, with scores and stats from ESPN. Results use the odds on our card, or −110 where none was written down. A unit (u) is a normal-size bet.

Record so far

12-2

won-lost, 14 bets settled

Units won or lost

+4.04u

on 5.60u bet so far

Still to play

7

bets, 2.25u; 5 in play right now

Still to play

Broncos 7, Chargers 013:13 left in the 2nd · Game notes

  • Not bet

    Chargers +3.5 0.5u at −118

    Dropped Sunday morning.

  • Not bet

    Chargers to win 0.25u at +150

    Dropped Sunday morning.

  • Live

    Jaylen Waddle under 4.5 catches 0.25u at −120

    1 catch so far, 13:13 left in the 2nd · wins at 4 or fewer

  • Live

    Troy Franklin under 1.5 catches 0.25u at −110

    1 catch so far, 13:13 left in the 2nd · wins at 1 or fewer

49ers 7, Seahawks 75:32 left in the 1st · Game notes

  • Live

    Seahawks -3 0.5u at −110

    Tied 7-7, 5:32 left in the 1st · 3 short of covering

  • Live

    Christian McCaffrey under 4.5 catches 0.25u at +101

    0 catches so far, 5:32 left in the 1st · wins at 4 or fewer

  • Live

    Deebo Samuel under 3.5 catches 0.25u at −121

    0 catches so far, 5:32 left in the 1st · wins at 3 or fewer

Ravens at FalconsSun 7:20 PM CT · Game notes

  • Not bet

    Under 43.5 points 0.25u at −105

    Dropped Sunday morning.

  • Not started

    Zay Flowers under 5.5 catches 0.25u at −126

Bills at RamsMon 7:15 PM CT · Game notes

  • Not started

    Rams -3 0.5u at −120

  • Not bet

    Under 54.5 points 0.75u at −102

    Dropped Sunday morning.

Finished

Bears 7, Packers 31Final · Game notes

  • Not bet

    Packers to win 0.5u at +100

    Dropped Sunday morning.

  • Not bet

    Under 45.5 points 0.25u at −102

    Replaced Sunday morning by Under 47.5.

  • Won

    Under 47.5 points 0.75u at −118

    Final total 38, 9.5 points under

    +0.64u
  • Won

    Rome Odunze under 3.5 catches 0.25u at −162

    Finished with 3 catches

    +0.15u

Browns 12, Jets 17Final · Game notes

  • Won

    Jets -2.5 0.5u at −110

    Jets won by 5

    +0.45u
  • Not bet

    Under 39.5 points 0.25u at −108

    Dropped Sunday morning.

  • Won

    KC Concepcion under 4.5 catches 0.25u at −139

    Finished with 1 catch

    +0.18u

Texans 26, Titans 3Final · Game notes

  • Not bet

    Titans +7.5 0.5u at −115

    Dropped Sunday morning.

  • Won

    Carnell Tate under 4.5 catches 0.25u at −145

    Finished with 1 catch

    +0.17u

Colts 22, Steelers 34Final · Game notes

  • Won

    Steelers -3 0.25u at −108

    Steelers won by 12

    +0.23u
  • Not bet

    Colts to win 0.25u at +124

    Dropped Sunday morning.

  • Not bet

    Under 44.5 points 0.5u at −118

    Dropped Sunday morning.

  • Lost

    Jonathan Taylor under 2.5 catches 0.25u at −109

    Finished with 3 catches

    −0.25u

Raiders 17, Patriots 45Final · Game notes

  • Won

    Patriots -3.5 0.25u at −105

    Patriots won by 28

    +0.24u

Vikings 23, Saints 13Final · Game notes

  • Not bet

    Saints +2.5 0.25u at −112

    Dropped Sunday morning.

Giants 27, Commanders 27Final · Game notes

  • Not bet

    Under 42.5 points 0.25u at −115

    Dropped Sunday morning.

  • Won

    Malachi Fields under 2.5 catches 0.25u at −161

    Finished with 2 catches

    +0.16u

Eagles 17, Jaguars 19Final · Game notes

  • Won

    Eagles +7.5 0.5u at −112

    Eagles lost by 2, inside the 7.5

    +0.45u
  • Won

    Jalen Hurts under 6.5 carries 0.25u at −128

    Finished with 2 carries

    +0.20u
  • Lost

    Jakobi Meyers to score a TD 0.1u at +275

    No touchdown

    −0.10u

Buccaneers 24, Cowboys 16Final · Game notes

  • Won

    Buccaneers +9.5 1u at −119

    Buccaneers won by 8

    +0.84u
  • Won

    Under 48.5 points 0.75u at −110

    Final total 40, 8.5 points under

    +0.68u

Covers Clayton’s card below.

Projected score
Our projected final score. The win % is each team’s chance to win.
TD chance
How likely a player is to score at least one touchdown. TD odds are the best price at the last update, shown once two or more sportsbooks have posted one.
Worth it at
The worst odds that still pay enough. Take those odds or better; if the book is offering less, skip it.
Ranks
Rankings are based on various sources, for this week and for the rest of the season. Each game lists its players by position (QB, RB, WR, TE, defense, kicker), best rank this week first; players without a rank come last. This week vs season: a plus means he ranks higher this week; green or red marks a big gap.
Last TD
When he last scored a touchdown, and how many of his games ago.
Matchup
Good: the defense gives up touchdowns to his position and his team scores there a lot. Tough: the opposite.
Injury score
Starters likely to miss the game, weighted by position (starting QB = 4) and by each one’s chance of sitting. Both teams side by side for every game. Green under 1, amber 1-3, red 3 or more.
Lines
The sportsbooks’ over/under numbers. Bet marks our bets, lean marks smaller leans. Skip any of them if the line moves.

Our bets this week

Clayton’s card, posted Thursday night, Oct 8. Prices as of Thursday night (props and touchdowns from Thursday afternoon). The two Thursday-night bets were picked before kickoff and added after the game. The Sunday games get a last check Sunday morning; any change shows here. Sunday morning (about 9:30 CT) we cut the card to our strongest plays: Steelers -3 and Patriots -3.5 were added, the Bears-Packers under moved to 47.5 at a bigger size, and the plays we no longer like are marked not bet. We also cut the player props to our 10 strongest catch unders; the other props and the touchdown bets in the games still to play are off. 1 unit (u) is a normal bet; 0.25u is a quarter of one.

Sides

  • Buccaneers +9.5 1u TB @ DAL

    Picked before Thursday's kickoff; added to the card after the game.

  • Eagles +7.5 0.5u PHI @ JAX

    More than a touchdown at a neutral site in London.

  • Titans +7.5 not bet HOU @ TEN

    The home team is getting more than a touchdown in a division game.

  • Chargers +3.5 not bet DEN @ LAC

    A home underdog getting more than a field goal.

  • Seahawks -3 0.5u SF @ SEA

    Home favorite by a field goal in a division game.

  • Jets -2.5 0.5u CLE @ NYJ

    Home favorite by less than a field goal.

  • Steelers -3 0.25u IND @ PIT

    Pittsburgh at home, laying a field goal. Added Sunday morning.

  • Patriots -3.5 0.25u LV @ NE

    New England at home, laying 3.5. Added Sunday morning.

  • Saints +2.5 not bet MIN @ NO

    A home underdog getting points.

  • Rams -3 0.5u BUF @ LA

    Monday night at home, laying a field goal.

  • Packers to win not bet CHI @ GB

    Chicago starts its backup quarterback with Caleb Williams out, and Green Bay is at home.

  • Chargers to win not bet DEN @ LAC

    A small piece on the home underdog winning outright, beside the points.

  • Colts to win not bet IND @ PIT

    Better than even odds in a game lined under a field goal.

Unders

  • Under 48.5 points 0.75u TB @ DAL

    Picked before Thursday's kickoff; added to the card after the game.

  • Under 54.5 points not bet BUF @ LA

    Tied for the highest total of the week, indoors at SoFi.

  • Under 44.5 points not bet IND @ PIT

    Heavy rain is forecast at kickoff in Pittsburgh, and the Steelers have scored about 19 points a game lately.

  • Under 42.5 points not bet NYG @ WAS

    The Giants are down to their third quarterback (Jaxson Dart on injured reserve, Marcus Mariota very unlikely), with rain in the forecast.

  • Under 45.5 points not bet CHI @ GB

    Chicago starts its backup quarterback, and Green Bay has scored about 18 points a game lately.

  • Under 47.5 points 0.75u CHI @ GB

    Chicago starts its backup quarterback, Green Bay has scored about 18 points a game lately, and the wind at Lambeau is 12 to 13 mph with gusts near 20.

  • Under 39.5 points not bet CLE @ NYJ

    Both offenses have scored about 19 to 20 points a game lately, with rain possible at kickoff.

  • Under 43.5 points not bet BAL @ ATL

    Lamar Jackson is listed as very unlikely to play.

Player props

  • Jalen Hurts under 6.5 carries 0.25u PHI @ JAX

    5 or fewer carries in each of his last three games.

  • Rome Odunze under 3.5 catches 0.25u CHI @ GB

    3 or fewer catches in 3 of 4 games, now with Chicago's backup quarterback.

  • KC Concepcion under 4.5 catches 0.25u CLE @ NYJ

    4 or fewer catches in 2 of 4 games; Cleveland is the road underdog.

  • Jonathan Taylor under 2.5 catches 0.25u IND @ PIT

    2 catches or fewer in each of his last two games.

  • Carnell Tate under 4.5 catches 0.25u HOU @ TEN

    4 or fewer catches in 2 of his 4 games.

  • Malachi Fields under 2.5 catches 0.25u NYG @ WAS

    Exactly 2 catches in every game this season.

  • Jaylen Waddle under 4.5 catches 0.25u DEN @ LAC

    4 or fewer catches in 2 of his 4 games.

  • Troy Franklin under 1.5 catches 0.25u DEN @ LAC

    One catch or fewer in every game he has played this season.

  • Christian McCaffrey under 4.5 catches 0.25u SF @ SEA

    4 or fewer catches in each of his last three games.

  • Deebo Samuel under 3.5 catches 0.25u SF @ SEA

    3 or fewer catches in 2 of his 4 games.

  • Zay Flowers under 5.5 catches 0.25u BAL @ ATL

    Baltimore is likely without Lamar Jackson.

  • Jakobi Meyers to score a TD 0.1u PHI @ JAX

    Two touchdowns this season and three end-zone targets.

Weather to watch

Forecasts for the 9 outdoor games, kickoff through the final whistle (updated Sun 3:30 PM CT; every 30 minutes on game day). The other 6 games are indoors or under a retractable roof. Forecasts four days out can change a lot.

Injury scores by matchup

Starters only: the players who start when healthy (how much they play when available, last season included for anyone hurt early). Each one counts by position (a starting quarterback 4; tackles, edge rushers and corners 1.25; most other starters 1; guards, tight ends and running backs 0.75) times his chance of sitting out: 100% for out or injured reserve, 99% for doubtful, and otherwise a chance from this week's practice reports (no practice all week is about 80-95%). 0 means fully healthy. Names listed are 50%+ to sit.

Broncos at ChargersSun 3:05 PM CT

Injury scores, Broncos at Chargers
BroncosChargers
Offense 1 7.02
Defense 1.3 3.27

Likely to sit

  • Broncos: Riley Moss (CB), Pat Bryant (WR)
  • Chargers: Joe Alt (T), Donte Jackson (CB), Trey Pipkins (T), Derwin James (SS), Quentin Johnston (WR), Denzel Perryman (ILB), Kayode Awosika (G), Trevor Penning (G), Branson Taylor (G), Rashawn Slater (T, 83%)

Lions at CardinalsSun 3:25 PM CT

Injury scores, Lions at Cardinals
LionsCardinals
Offense 0.75 4.51
Defense 5.51 2.55

Likely to sit

  • Lions: Rock Ya-Sin (CB), Brian Branch (SS), Thomas Harper (FS), Kerby Joseph (FS), Avonte Maddox (FS), Ben Bartch (G)
  • Cardinals: Paris Johnson (T), Will Johnson (CB), Marvin Harrison Jr. (WR), Andrew Wingard (FS), Isaiah Adams (G), Trey Benson (RB), James Conner (RB)

49ers at SeahawksSun 3:25 PM CT

Injury scores, 49ers at Seahawks
49ersSeahawks
Offense 2.04 1.52
Defense 4.59 0.02

Likely to sit

  • 49ers: Nick Bosa (DE), Sam Okuayinonu (DE), Ricky Pearsall (WR), Demarcus Robinson (WR), Marques Sigle (SS)
  • Seahawks: Anthony Bradford (G), Zach Charbonnet (RB)

Ravens at FalconsSun 7:20 PM CT

Injury scores, Ravens at Falcons
RavensFalcons
Offense 5.87 0.19
Defense 1.46 3.92

Likely to sit

  • Ravens: Lamar Jackson (QB), Jovaughn Gwyn (C), Trey Hendrickson (OLB), Durham Smythe (TE)
  • Falcons: AJ Terrell (CB), James Pearce (OLB), Jalon Walker (OLB)

Bills at RamsMon 7:15 PM CT

Injury scores, Bills at Rams
BillsRams
Offense 1.28 0.85
Defense 0.77 2.63

Likely to sit

  • Bills: Tyrell Shavers (WR)
  • Rams: Myles Garrett (OLB), Terrance Ferguson (TE), Josaiah Stewart (OLB, 85%)

First-TD picks

First-TD picks go up later in the week, once the odds settle.

Thursday night Thu, Oct 8

Thu 7:15 PM CT · Thursday Night Football

Buccaneers at Cowboys

Cowboys by 8.5-9 · over/under 48.5-49

Expected points: Buccaneers 20, Cowboys 28.8 · Retractable roof

FinalBuccaneers 24, Cowboys 16

Projected before kickoff

Buccaneers 20, Cowboys 28

Cowboys win 74% of the time

Weather

Retractable roof The roof closes for bad weather, so weather isn't a factor.

Our bets in this game, graded

  • Won Buccaneers +9.5 1u at −119 +0.84uBuccaneers won by 8
  • Won Under 48.5 points 0.75u at −110 +0.68uFinal total 40, 8.5 points under

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Buccaneers at Cowboys
BuccaneersCowboys
Offense 0 0
Defense 0 1

Buccaneers

No starters on the injury report.

Game-day statuses aren’t out yet.

Cowboys

Defense

  • Jalen Thompson S IR reserve list

Game-day statuses aren’t out yet.

Most likely to score a TD

  1. CeeDee Lamb DAL WR57%
  2. Javonte Williams DAL RB55%
  3. George Pickens DAL WR31%
  4. Jake Ferguson DAL TE30%
  5. Ryan Flournoy DAL WR29%

Our prop leans

  • Javonte Williams under 2.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at +104 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT +110 (ESPN BET)

  • CeeDee Lamb under 6.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at -116 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -110 (Hard Rock)

Players

Quarterbacks 3

QuarterbackOver/under linesRank this weekPass yds a gameTD passes a gameINTs a gameRushing TDsLast rushing TDGames
Dak Prescott DAL270.5 pass yds · 9.5 rush ydsQB4264.61.880.4712025 Wk 12 · 10 games ago17
Jalon Daniels TB184.5 pass yds · 44.5 rush ydsQB2674.00.51.50None yet2
Baker Mayfield TB Outno line yet—212.81.250.752Wk 1 · 2 games ago16

Running backs 4

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Javonte Williams DAL55%-190Wk 4 (3 TDs) · last gameRB9RB9—6 / 16—66.5 rush yds · 16.5 carries · 2.5 catches lean under
Bucky Irving TB29%+200Wk 1 · 3 games agoRB20RB19—1 / 5—52.5 rush yds · 13.5 carries · 2.5 catches
Kenny Gainwell TB24%+475Wk 4 · last gameRB44RB49—1 / 6—12.5 rush yds · 1.5 catches
Tyler Goodson DAL16%+650None yetRB64RB71—0 / 0—14.5 rush yds

Receivers 9

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
CeeDee Lamb DAL57%-111Wk 4 · last gameWR4WR6—4 / 7—6.5 catches lean under · 84.5 rec yds
George Pickens DAL31%+1252025 Wk 16 · 6 games agoWR14WR10—0 / 5—4.5 catches · 63.5 rec yds
Emeka Egbuka TB25%+290Wk 2 · 2 games agoWR31WR28—1 / 3—3.5 catches · 36.5 rec yds
Chris Godwin Jr. TB17%—2025 Wk 17 · 5 games agoWR48WR42—0 / 2—3.5 catches · 31.5 rec yds
Ryan Flournoy DAL29%+3102025 Wk 16 · 5 games agoWR53WR70—0 / 4—3.5 catches · 31.5 rec yds
Ted Hurst III TB18%+550Wk 3 · 1 game agoWR65WR69—1 / 1—1.5 catches · 16.5 rec yds
Tez Johnson TB10%+7502025 Wk 12 · 9 games agoWR98WR114—0 / 5—1.5 catches · 12.5 rec yds
Jonathan Mingo DAL Questionable——None yetWR130——0 / 0—no line yet
Jalen McMillan TB Out——None yet———0 / 0—no line yet

Tight ends 5

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Jake Ferguson DAL30%+225Wk 3 · 1 game agoTE19TE18—3 / 10Good3.5 catches · 27.5 rec yds
Cade Otton TB14%+5002025 Wk 18 · 4 games agoTE25TE26—0 / 1—3.5 catches · 29.5 rec yds
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL——2025 Wk 12 · 7 games agoTE53——0 / 1Good0.5 catches · 4.5 rec yds
Luke Schoonmaker DAL——None yetTE62——0 / 0Goodno line yet
Payne Durham TB——None yetTE89——0 / 0—no line yet

Defenses 2

DefenseFacingRank this weekSacks a gameINTs a gameFumbles recovered a gameDefensive TDsPoints allowed a gameOpponent expected points
BuccaneersCowboys—1.90.90.6224.128.0
CowboysBuccaneers—2.00.30.4128.919.5

Kickers 2

KickerRank this weekField goals a gameMadeFG%LongFrom 50+Points a gameTeam expected points
Brandon Aubrey DALK12.0635 of 4480%6399.028.0
Chase McLaughlin TBK201.8832 of 3591%59107.519.5

Back to top

Sunday morning Sun, Oct 11

Sun 8:30 AM CT · London

Eagles at Jaguars

Jaguars by 8 · over/under 41.5

Expected points: Eagles 16.8, Jaguars 24.8 · Outdoors

FinalEagles 17, Jaguars 19

Projected before kickoff

Eagles 16, Jaguars 24

Jaguars win 73% of the time

Weather at kickoff and through the game

Rain possible: up to 47% 74°F at kickoff · drizzle · rain 47% at kickoff · wind WSW 8 mph, gusts to 19. Forecast updated Sun 7:30 AM CT.

Our bets in this game, graded

  • Won Eagles +7.5 0.5u at −112 +0.45uEagles lost by 2, inside the 7.5
  • Won Jalen Hurts under 6.5 carries 0.25u at −128 +0.20uFinished with 2 carries
  • Lost Jakobi Meyers to score a TD 0.1u at +275 −0.10uNo touchdown

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Eagles at Jaguars
EaglesJaguars
Offense 3.5 0.75
Defense 1 1

Eagles

Offense

  • Drew Kendall C Out knee first game out
  • DeVonta Smith WR Out hamstring
  • Saquon Barkley RB Out hamstring first game out
  • Landon Dickerson G IR reserve list

Defense

  • Marcus Epps SS Out groin

Jaguars

Offense

  • Patrick Mekari G IR reserve list

Defense

  • Eric Murray SS Out concussion first game out

Most likely to score a TD

  1. Bhayshul Tuten JAX RB52%
  2. Parker Washington JAX WR31%
  3. Jalen Hurts PHI QB30%
  4. Jakobi Meyers JAX WR26%
  5. Trevor Lawrence JAX QB23%

Our prop leans

  • Brenton Strange under 3.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at -143 or better · best price Sun 7:00 AM CT -135 (ESPN BET)

Players

Quarterbacks 4

QuarterbackOver/under linesRank this weekPass yds a gameTD passes a gameINTs a gameRushing TDsLast rushing TDGames
Trevor Lawrence JAX225.5 pass yds · 13.5 rush ydsQB8234.82.00.6572025 Wk 17 (2 TDs) · 6 games ago17
Jalen Hurts PHI190.5 pass yds · 27.5 rush ydsQB17201.01.620.565Wk 3 · 1 game ago16
Andy Dalton PHIno line yetQB5178.30.00.670None yet3
Nick Mullens JAXno line yet—3.80.00.00None yet5

Running backs 7

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Bhayshul Tuten JAX52%+100Wk 3 · 1 game agoRB12RB13−22 / 7—65.5 rush yds · 14.5 carries · 1.5 catches
Will Shipley PHI20%+310None yetRB39RB40+20 / 0Tough33.5 rush yds · 10.5 carries · 2.5 catches
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX3%+350Wk 4 · last gameRB40RB39+52 / 8—25.5 rush yds · 6.5 carries
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX6%+1150None yetRB72RB75+20 / 0—no line yet
Ameer Abdullah JAX5%+15002025 Wk 5 · 14 games agoRB75——0 / 1—no line yet
Saquon Barkley PHI Out——2025 Wk 16 · 6 games agoRB78——0 / 6Toughno line yet
Tank Bigsby PHI Out——Wk 2 · 2 games ago———1 / 3Toughno line yet

Receivers 8

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Parker Washington JAX31%+150Wk 3 · 1 game agoWR15WR11−42 / 8—4.5 catches · 60.5 rec yds
Dontayvion Wicks PHI9%+400Wk 1 · 3 games agoWR38WR57+171 / 3—3.5 catches · 44.5 rec yds
Jakobi Meyers JAX26%+300Wk 3 · 1 game agoWR39WR40−42 / 5—3.5 catches · 41.5 rec yds
Makai Lemon PHI13%+550None yetWR44WR35−110 / 0—3.5 catches · 32.5 rec yds
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX22%—Wk 4 · last gameWR48WR44−41 / 4—2.5 catches · 24.5 rec yds
Darius Cooper PHI13%+650Wk 4 (2 TDs) · last gameWR62WR69+53 / 3—2.5 catches · 21.5 rec yds
Josh Cameron JAX16%+800Wk 3 · 1 game agoWR75——2 / 2—1.5 catches · 10.5 rec yds
DeVonta Smith PHI Out——Wk 2 · 1 game agoWR150——1 / 4—no line yet

Tight ends 5

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Brenton Strange JAX22%+310Wk 1 · 3 games agoTE17TE14−51 / 4Tough3.5 catches lean under · 33.5 rec yds
Dallas Goedert PHI21%+340Wk 1 (2 TDs) · 1 game agoTE26TE13—2 / 15Good4.5 catches · 40.5 rec yds
Zach Ertz PHI6%+11002025 Wk 7 · 8 games agoTE38TE44+70 / 4Goodno line yet
Nate Boerkircher JAX7%+1000None yetTE59——0 / 0Toughno line yet
Johnny Mundt PHI3%+1750None yetTE65——0 / 0Goodno line yet

Defenses 2

DefenseFacingRank this weekSacks a gameINTs a gameFumbles recovered a gameDefensive TDsPoints allowed a gameOpponent expected points
JaguarsEaglesDST52.11.10.5118.617.8
EaglesJaguarsDST222.40.80.4119.524.8

Kickers 2

KickerRank this weekField goals a gameMadeFG%LongFrom 50+Points a gameTeam expected points
Cam Little JAXK51.6528 of 3385%6897.924.8
Jake Elliott PHIK281.2421 of 2875%5835.917.8

Back to top

Sunday noon Sun, Oct 11

Sun Noon CT

Bears at Packers

Bears by 1.5 · over/under 46.5-47

Expected points: Bears 24.1, Packers 22.6 · Outdoors

FinalBears 7, Packers 31

Projected before kickoff

Bears 23, Packers 21

Bears win 54% of the time

Weather at kickoff and through the game

Windy: S 12 mph, gusts to 21 74°F at kickoff · clear · little or no rain expected · wind S 12 mph, gusts to 21. Forecast updated Sun 9:30 AM CT.

Our bets in this game, graded

  • Not bet Packers to win 0.5u at +100Dropped Sunday morning.
  • Not bet Under 45.5 points 0.25u at −102Replaced Sunday morning by Under 47.5.
  • Won Under 47.5 points 0.75u at −118 +0.64uFinal total 38, 9.5 points under
  • Won Rome Odunze under 3.5 catches 0.25u at −162 +0.15uFinished with 3 catches

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Bears at Packers
BearsPackers
Offense 3.44 3.48
Defense 1.27 3

Bears

Offense

  • Braxton Jones T IR reserve list
  • Caleb Williams QB Questionable hamstring 55% chance he sits

Defense

  • Kyler Gordon CB IR calf

Packers

Offense

  • Zach Bako-Bewele T IR reserve list
  • Jacob Monk C Doubtful quadricep 99% chance he sits
  • Aaron Banks G Doubtful knee 99% chance he sits
  • Jager Burton C Questionable back 27% chance he sits

Defense

  • Johnathan Baldwin FS IR reserve list
  • Edgerrin Cooper ILB IR reserve list first game out
  • Micah Parsons OLB IR reserve list

Most likely to score a TD

  1. D'Andre Swift CHI RB54%
  2. MarShawn Lloyd GB RB40%
  3. Christian Watson GB WR32%
  4. Luther Burden III CHI WR31%
  5. Kaleb Johnson GB RB29%

Our prop leans

  • Colston Loveland under 4.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at -159 or better · best price Sun 7:00 AM CT -150 (DraftKings)

  • Kalif Raymond under 3.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at -175 or better · best price Sun 7:00 AM CT -165 (BetMGM)

Players

Quarterbacks 4

QuarterbackOver/under linesRank this weekPass yds a gameTD passes a gameINTs a gameRushing TDsLast rushing TDGames
Jordan Love GB234.5 pass yds · 6.5 rush ydsQB12232.41.730.470None yet15
Tyson Bagent CHI215.5 pass yds · 11.5 rush ydsQB19114.00.00.330None yet3
Case Keenum CHIno line yetQB31247.02.00.01Wk 3 · last game1
Caleb Williams CHI Questionableno line yet—241.11.60.673Wk 1 (2 TDs) · 1 game ago15

Running backs 5

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
D'Andre Swift CHI54%-165Wk 1 (3 TDs) · 3 games agoRB8RB11+03 / 11Good84.5 rush yds · 19.5 carries · 2.5 catches
Kyle Monangai CHI Out——Wk 4 (2 TDs) · last gameRB23——3 / 7Goodno line yet
MarShawn Lloyd GB40%+140Wk 2 · 2 games agoRB31RB39+71 / 1Tough27.5 rush yds · 7.5 carries · 2.5 catches
Kaleb Johnson GB29%+215None yetRB37RB42+10 / 0Tough32.5 rush yds · 9.5 carries
Chris Brooks GB Out——None yetRB88——0 / 0Toughno line yet

Receivers 11

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Christian Watson GB32%+185Wk 3 · 1 game agoWR10WR15+54 / 11Good4.5 catches · 61.5 rec yds
Matthew Golden GB23%+230Wk 4 · last gameWR19WR17−42 / 3Good4.5 catches · 56.5 rec yds
Luther Burden III CHI31%+225Wk 3 · 1 game agoWR22WR24+11 / 2Good4.5 catches · 46.5 rec yds
Rome Odunze CHI29%+2402025 Wk 10 · 9 games agoWR26WR22−60 / 5Good3.5 catches bet under 3.5 · 39.5 rec yds
Kalif Raymond CHI16%+450Wk 3 · 1 game agoWR48WR60+71 / 2Good3.5 catches lean under · 26.5 rec yds
Skyy Moore GB12%+550None yetWR83——0 / 0Good1.5 catches · 12.5 rec yds
Bo Melton GB4%+17502025 Wk 14 · 7 games agoWR115——0 / 1Goodno line yet
Jahdae Walker CHI1%+1300Wk 1 · last gameWR126——1 / 3Goodno line yet
J. Michael Sturdivant GB4%+2200None yetWR131——0 / 0Goodno line yet
Savion Williams GB Out——2025 Wk 8 · 5 games agoWR153——0 / 1Goodno line yet
Jayden Reed GB Out——————0 / 2Goodno line yet

Tight ends 6

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Tucker Kraft GB26%+230Wk 4 · last gameTE5TE7+21 / 7Tough4.5 catches · 49.5 rec yds
Colston Loveland CHI26%+2402025 Wk 18 · 6 games agoTE9TE9+00 / 6—4.5 catches lean under · 37.5 rec yds
Cole Kmet CHI12%+600Wk 1 · 3 games agoTE40TE47—1 / 3—1.5 catches · 9.5 rec yds
Jonnu Smith GB8%+9002025 Wk 15 · 7 games agoTE43TE39—0 / 2Tough1.5 catches · 7.5 rec yds
Sam Roush CHI4%+1400None yetTE55TE50—0 / 0—no line yet
Mark Redman GB——None yetTE69——0 / 0Toughno line yet

Defenses 2

DefenseFacingRank this weekSacks a gameINTs a gameFumbles recovered a gameDefensive TDsPoints allowed a gameOpponent expected points
BearsPackersDST122.20.90.5121.923.0
PackersBearsDST212.10.60.4023.224.5

Kickers 2

KickerRank this weekField goals a gameMadeFG%LongFrom 50+Points a gameTeam expected points
Cairo Santos CHIK121.7630 of 3586%5447.924.5
Trey Smack GBK201.56 of 786%5926.223.0

Back to top

Sun Noon CT

Bengals at Dolphins

Bengals by 7 · over/under 43.5

Expected points: Bengals 25.2, Dolphins 18.2 · Outdoors

FinalBengals 31, Dolphins 24

Projected before kickoff

Bengals 24, Dolphins 17

Bengals win 70% of the time

Weather at kickoff and through the game

Windy: SE 10 mph, gusts to 14Hot: 89°F 89°F at kickoff · clear · little or no rain expected · wind SE 10 mph, gusts to 14. Forecast updated Sun 9:30 AM CT.

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Bengals at Dolphins
BengalsDolphins
Offense 1.25 1.75
Defense 1.56 0

Bengals

Offense

  • Andrei Iosivas WR IR reserve list
  • Ja'Marr Chase WR Questionable concussion 16% chance he sits
  • Tee Higgins WR Questionable groin 9% chance he sits

Defense

  • Jalen Davis CB IR reserve list
  • Bryan Cook FS Questionable ankle 25% chance he sits

Dolphins

Offense

  • Caleb Douglas WR Out ankle
  • De'Von Achane RB IR reserve list

Most likely to score a TD

  1. Chase Brown CIN RB60%
  2. Ollie Gordon II MIA RB36%
  3. Mike Gesicki CIN TE30%
  4. Samaje Perine CIN RB27%
  5. Malik Washington MIA WR23%

Our prop leans

  • Ja'Marr Chase under 6.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at -116 or better · best price Sun 7:00 AM CT -110 (DraftKings)

Players

Quarterbacks 2

QuarterbackOver/under linesRank this weekPass yds a gameTD passes a gameINTs a gameRushing TDsLast rushing TDGames
Joe Burrow CIN254.5 pass yds · 8.5 rush ydsQB5279.12.20.81Wk 4 · last game10
Malik Willis MIA189.5 pass yds · 32.5 rush ydsQB29141.80.50.253Wk 1 · 3 games ago8

Running backs 6

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Chase Brown CIN60%-132Wk 1 · 3 games agoRB9RB7+11 / 11—67.5 rush yds · 16.5 carries · 3.5 catches
Ollie Gordon II MIA36%+150Wk 4 · last gameRB24RB27+22 / 6—42.5 rush yds · 11.5 carries · 1.5 catches
Jaylen Wright MIA Questionable16%+2952025 Wk 16 · 5 games agoRB44RB44+10 / 2—22.5 rush yds
Samaje Perine CIN27%+6002025 Wk 17 · 5 games agoRB46RB53+30 / 3—14.5 rush yds
DJ Herman MIA——None yetRB95——0 / 0—no line yet
De'Von Achane MIA Out——2025 Wk 16 · 4 games ago———0 / 10—no line yet

Receivers 12

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Ja'Marr Chase CIN Questionable17%+112Wk 3 · 1 game agoWR27WR2—3 / 10—6.5 catches lean under · 76.5 rec yds
Malik Washington MIA23%+3352025 Wk 18 · 4 games agoWR30WR42+50 / 4Tough4.5 catches · 44.5 rec yds
Dohnte Meyers CIN15%+335None yetWR50WR59+180 / 0—no line yet
Tee Higgins CIN Questionable7%+130Wk 3 · 1 game agoWR51WR16—1 / 11—4.5 catches · 59.5 rec yds
Chris Bell MIA16%+480None yetWR53WR50−50 / 0Tough2.5 catches · 33.5 rec yds
Mitchell Tinsley CIN——2025 Wk 12 · 4 games agoWR78——0 / 2—no line yet
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA13%+850None yetWR81WR72−50 / 0Tough1.5 catches · 18.5 rec yds
Colbie Young CIN Questionable4%+800None yetWR103WR74—0 / 0—no line yet
Ryan Miller MIA2%+2000Wk 2 · 1 game agoWR123——1 / 2Toughno line yet
Jalen Tolbert MIA1%+25002025 Wk 8 · 4 games agoWR124WR94−20 / 1Toughno line yet
Caleb Douglas MIA Out——None yetWR129——0 / 0Toughno line yet
Andrei Iosivas CIN Out——2025 Wk 13 · 7 games ago———0 / 2—no line yet

Tight ends 7

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Mike Gesicki CIN30%+290Wk 4 · last gameTE16TE19+63 / 5—2.5 catches · 30.5 rec yds
Greg Dulcich MIA12%+4902025 Wk 17 · 4 games agoTE29TE23−40 / 1—2.5 catches · 25.5 rec yds
Tanner Hudson CIN7%+14002025 Wk 13 · 7 games agoTE47——0 / 2—no line yet
Drew Sample CIN11%+15002025 Wk 3 · 10 games agoTE49——0 / 1—no line yet
Will Kacmarek MIA4%+1500None yetTE53TE55—0 / 0—1.5 catches · 6.5 rec yds
Erick All CIN9%—None yetTE58TE41—0 / 0—no line yet
Justin Joly MIA Out——None yetTE114——0 / 0—no line yet

Defenses 2

DefenseFacingRank this weekSacks a gameINTs a gameFumbles recovered a gameDefensive TDsPoints allowed a gameOpponent expected points
BengalsDolphinsDST32.50.50.6126.918.2
DolphinsBengalsDST282.10.70.5023.925.2

Kickers 2

KickerRank this weekField goals a gameMadeFG%LongFrom 50+Points a gameTeam expected points
Evan McPherson CINK21.7630 of 3391%63107.925.2
Riley Patterson MIAK301.7129 of 3388%5436.818.2

Back to top

Sun Noon CT

Browns at Jets

Jets by 2.5 · over/under 39.5

Expected points: Browns 18.5, Jets 21 · Outdoors

FinalBrowns 12, Jets 17

Projected before kickoff

Browns 16, Jets 17

Jets win 57% of the time

Weather at kickoff and through the game

Windy: E 13 mph, gusts to 28Rain likely: up to 95% 65°F at kickoff · light drizzle · rain 89% at kickoff, up to 95% later · wind E 13 mph, gusts to 28. Forecast updated Sun 9:30 AM CT.

Our bets in this game, graded

  • Won Jets -2.5 0.5u at −110 +0.45uJets won by 5
  • Not bet Under 39.5 points 0.25u at −108Dropped Sunday morning.
  • Won KC Concepcion under 4.5 catches 0.25u at −139 +0.18uFinished with 1 catch

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Browns at Jets
BrownsJets
Offense 0.75 2.5
Defense 2.25 1.16

Browns

Offense

  • Teven Jenkins G Out back

Defense

  • Mason Graham DT Out knee first game out
  • Alex Wright DE IR reserve list

Jets

Offense

  • Adonai Mitchell WR Out finger
  • Breece Hall RB Out quadricep
  • Dylan Parham G Out knee

Defense

  • David Onyemata DT IR reserve list
  • Kingsley Enagbare OLB Questionable knee 16% chance he sits

Most likely to score a TD

  1. Braelon Allen NYJ RB41%
  2. Garrett Wilson NYJ WR30%
  3. Denzel Boston CLE WR26%
  4. KC Concepcion Jr. CLE WR21%
  5. Harold Fannin Jr. CLE TE21%

Our prop leans

  • Harold Fannin Jr. under 4.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at -154 or better · best price Sun 7:00 AM CT -150 (ESPN BET)

Players

Quarterbacks 4

QuarterbackOver/under linesRank this weekPass yds a gameTD passes a gameINTs a gameRushing TDsLast rushing TDGames
Deshaun Watson CLE194.5 pass yds · 26.5 rush ydsQB20213.81.50.50None yet4
Geno Smith NYJ205.5 pass yds · 10.5 rush ydsQB26198.61.20.670None yet15
Shedeur Sanders CLEno line yetQB33155.60.781.1112025 Wk 14 · 5 games ago9
Dillon Gabriel CLE Outno line yet—114.80.750.250None yet8

Running backs 4

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Braelon Allen NYJ41%+106Wk 2 · 2 games agoRB13RB26+81 / 2—71.5 rush yds · 17.5 carries · 2.5 catches
Quinshon Judkins CLE9%+170Wk 4 · last gameRB16RB14−21 / 8—59.5 rush yds · 16.5 carries · 2.5 catches
Raheim Sanders CLE11%+8002025 Wk 1 · 7 games agoRB50RB59+60 / 1—1.5 catches
Breece Hall NYJ Out——Wk 1 · 2 games agoRB86——1 / 6—no line yet

Receivers 10

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Garrett Wilson NYJ30%+155Wk 3 · 1 game agoWR13WR13−32 / 6—5.5 catches · 68.5 rec yds
Denzel Boston CLE26%+225Wk 2 · 2 games agoWR29WR27−42 / 2—3.5 catches · 47.5 rec yds
KC Concepcion CLE21%—None yetWR32WR36+30 / 0—4.5 catches bet under 4.5 · 39.5 rec yds
Isaiah Williams NYJ13%+450Wk 4 · last gameWR63——1 / 1—2.5 catches · 22.5 rec yds
Jerry Jeudy CLE9%+7502025 Wk 14 · 7 games agoWR79WR75−10 / 2—1.5 catches · 14.5 rec yds
Sterling Shepard NYJ3%—2025 Wk 5 · 10 games agoWR105——0 / 1—no line yet
Isaiah Bond CLE3%+4000None yetWR120WR97+00 / 0—no line yet
Adonai Mitchell NYJ Out——2025 Wk 15 · 5 games agoWR123——0 / 2—no line yet
Tim Patrick NYJ Questionable——2025 Wk 14 · 4 games agoWR133——0 / 3—no line yet
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ Out——None yet———0 / 0—no line yet

Tight ends 6

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Harold Fannin Jr. CLE21%+250Wk 4 · last gameTE10TE8−23 / 10—4.5 catches lean under · 35.5 rec yds
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ17%+310Wk 3 · 1 game agoTE15TE12−52 / 2Tough3.5 catches · 29.5 rec yds
Mason Taylor NYJ10%+5252025 Wk 8 · 6 games agoTE37TE37—0 / 1Tough1.5 catches · 13.5 rec yds
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ6%+1100Wk 3 · last gameTE51——1 / 2Toughno line yet
Blake Whiteheart CLE6%+1300Wk 2 · last gameTE60——1 / 1—no line yet
Jelani Woods NYJ2%+1600None yetTE75——0 / 0Toughno line yet

Defenses 2

DefenseFacingRank this weekSacks a gameINTs a gameFumbles recovered a gameDefensive TDsPoints allowed a gameOpponent expected points
BrownsJetsDST83.20.80.4321.921.0
JetsBrownsDST101.70.10.4027.518.5

Kickers 2

KickerRank this weekField goals a gameMadeFG%LongFrom 50+Points a gameTeam expected points
Jason Sanders NYJK231.757 of 888%5226.521.0
Andre Szmyt CLEK271.5927 of 2896%5666.418.5

Back to top

Sun Noon CT

Texans at Titans

Texans by 7 · over/under 37.5

Expected points: Texans 22.2, Titans 15.2 · Outdoors

FinalTexans 26, Titans 3

Projected before kickoff

Texans 21, Titans 14

Texans win 71% of the time

Weather at kickoff and through the game

No weather worries 67°F at kickoff · overcast · little or no rain expected · wind WNW 9 mph, gusts to 17. Forecast updated Sun 9:30 AM CT.

Our bets in this game, graded

  • Not bet Titans +7.5 0.5u at −115Dropped Sunday morning.
  • Won Carnell Tate under 4.5 catches 0.25u at −145 +0.17uFinished with 1 catch

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Texans at Titans
TexansTitans
Offense 1.78 0.93
Defense 2.46 2

Texans

Offense

  • Jayden Higgins WR IR reserve list
  • Aireontae Ersery T Questionable illness 42% chance he sits
  • Ed Ingram G Questionable illness 27% chance he sits

Defense

  • E.J. Speed OLB IR reserve list
  • Henry To'oTo'o OLB IR reserve list
  • M.J. Stewart FS IR knee 46% chance he sits

Titans

Offense

  • Fernando Carmona G IR reserve list
  • Carnell Tate WR Questionable back 18% chance he sits

Defense

  • Amani Hooker FS Out concussion first game out
  • Jaylen Harrell OLB IR reserve list

Most likely to score a TD

  1. David Montgomery HOU RB46%
  2. Nico Collins HOU WR43%
  3. Tony Pollard TEN RB25%
  4. Woody Marks HOU RB23%
  5. Kayshon Boutte HOU WR17%

Our prop leans

  • Kayshon Boutte under 2.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at -165 or better · best price Sun 7:00 AM CT -155 (ESPN BET)

  • Dalton Schultz under 4.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at -162 or better · best price Sun 7:00 AM CT -156 (DraftKings)

Players

Quarterbacks 2

QuarterbackOver/under linesRank this weekPass yds a gameTD passes a gameINTs a gameRushing TDsLast rushing TDGames
C.J. Stroud HOU237.5 pass yds · 9.5 rush ydsQB13238.51.210.6412025 Wk 18 · 6 games ago14
Cam Ward TEN190.5 pass yds · 10.5 rush ydsQB30193.00.940.414Wk 2 (2 TDs) · 2 games ago17

Running backs 5

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
David Montgomery HOU46%+130Wk 1 (3 TDs) · 3 games agoRB22RB18−43 / 8—43.5 rush yds · 13.5 carries · 1.5 catches
Tony Pollard TEN25%+240Wk 4 · last gameRB26RB30+31 / 5Tough50.5 rush yds · 14.5 carries · 1.5 catches
Woody Marks HOU23%+210Wk 4 · last gameRB35RB33−12 / 6—35.5 rush yds · 9.5 carries · 1.5 catches
Tyjae Spears TEN14%+7002025 Wk 16 · 6 games agoRB49RB48+00 / 2Tough14.5 rush yds · 1.5 catches
Nicholas Singleton TEN4%+2250None yetRB69RB54−100 / 0Toughno line yet

Receivers 11

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Nico Collins HOU43%+140Wk 4 (2 TDs) · last gameWR5WR7+13 / 10—5.5 catches · 77.5 rec yds
Carnell Tate TEN Questionable13%+400None yetWR23WR33+70 / 0—4.5 catches bet under 4.5 · 46.5 rec yds
Wan'Dale Robinson TEN14%+500Wk 4 · last gameWR47WR45−52 / 5—3.5 catches · 32.5 rec yds
Kayshon Boutte HOU17%+550—WR57WR56+00 / 6—2.5 catches lean under · 24.5 rec yds
Xavier Hutchinson HOU12%+7002025 Wk 8 · 15 games agoWR67WR71+60 / 1—1.5 catches · 16.5 rec yds
Jaylin Noel HOU11%+6002025 Wk 17 · 7 games agoWR68WR52−180 / 2—1.5 catches · 19.5 rec yds
Elic Ayomanor TEN10%+800Wk 1 · 3 games agoWR80WR90+71 / 3—1.5 catches · 15.5 rec yds
Calvin Ridley TEN6%+1400None yetWR93WR81−50 / 0—0.5 catches · 8.5 rec yds
Jared Wayne HOU3%+1750None yetWR112——0 / 0—no line yet
Lewis Bond HOU——None yetWR163——0 / 0—no line yet
Tank Dell HOU Out——None yetWR177——0 / 0—no line yet

Tight ends 8

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Dalton Schultz HOU15%+3002025 Wk 16 · 8 games agoTE21TE22+20 / 3—4.5 catches lean under · 34.5 rec yds
Gunnar Helm TEN9%+6002025 Wk 15 · 6 games agoTE32TE30−30 / 2—2.5 catches · 16.5 rec yds
Foster Moreau HOU8%+950Wk 3 · 1 game agoTE41——1 / 1—no line yet
Daniel Bellinger TEN4%+15002025 Wk 18 · 4 games agoTE48TE51—0 / 2—no line yet
Cade Stover HOU2%+2250None yetTE66——0 / 0—no line yet
Brevin Jordan HOU——None yetTE80——0 / 0—no line yet
Marlin Klein HOU——None yetTE97TE43—0 / 0—no line yet
David Martin-Robinson TEN Questionable——2025 Wk 6 · 3 games agoTE101——0 / 1—no line yet

Defenses 2

DefenseFacingRank this weekSacks a gameINTs a gameFumbles recovered a gameDefensive TDsPoints allowed a gameOpponent expected points
TexansTitansDST13.30.90.7220.615.2
TitansTexansDST262.70.30.3125.922.2

Kickers 2

KickerRank this weekField goals a gameMadeFG%LongFrom 50+Points a gameTeam expected points
Ka'imi Fairbairn HOUK62.842 of 4593%58910.522.2
Joey Slye TENK291.3822 of 2685%5855.915.2

Back to top

Sun Noon CT

Colts at Steelers

Steelers by 3 · over/under 43.5

Expected points: Colts 20.2, Steelers 23.2 · Outdoors

FinalColts 22, Steelers 34

Projected before kickoff

Colts 17, Steelers 20

Steelers win 58% of the time

Weather at kickoff and through the game

Rain likely: up to 79% 65°F at kickoff · light rain · rain 79% at kickoff · wind ESE 10 mph, gusts to 26. Forecast updated Sun 9:30 AM CT.

Our bets in this game, graded

  • Won Steelers -3 0.25u at −108 +0.23uSteelers won by 12
  • Not bet Colts to win 0.25u at +124Dropped Sunday morning.
  • Not bet Under 44.5 points 0.5u at −118Dropped Sunday morning.
  • Lost Jonathan Taylor under 2.5 catches 0.25u at −109 −0.25uFinished with 3 catches

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Colts at Steelers
ColtsSteelers
Offense 0.11 1
Defense 3.73 2.49

Colts

Offense

  • Keenan Allen WR Questionable rest 10% chance he sits

Defense

  • Jaylon Carlies ILB Out ribs first game out
  • Arden Key DE IR hamstring first game out
  • Cameron Mitchell CB IR reserve list
  • Charvarius Ward CB Questionable rest 15% chance he sits

Steelers

Offense

  • Michael Pittman Jr. WR Out foot first game out

Defense

  • Jamel Dean CB Out ankle first game out
  • DeShon Elliott SS IR knee
  • Jalen Ramsey CB Questionable wrist 18% chance he sits

Most likely to score a TD

  1. Jonathan Taylor IND RB55%
  2. DK Metcalf PIT WR37%
  3. Jaylen Warren PIT RB35%
  4. Roman Wilson PIT WR25%
  5. Pat Freiermuth PIT TE23%

Our prop leans

  • Jaylen Warren under 2.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at +123 or better · best price Sun 7:00 AM CT +130 (Hard Rock)

  • Tyler Warren under 4.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at +109 or better · best price Sun 7:00 AM CT +115 (Hard Rock)

Players

Quarterbacks 3

QuarterbackOver/under linesRank this weekPass yds a gameTD passes a gameINTs a gameRushing TDsLast rushing TDGames
Aaron Rodgers PIT224.5 pass yds · 0.5 rush ydsQB18215.41.310.5612025 Wk 14 · 9 games ago16
Daniel Jones IND207.5 pass yds · 8.5 rush ydsQB28213.61.380.773Wk 4 · last game13
Mason Rudolph PITno line yetQB3960.00.40.40None yet5

Running backs 4

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Jonathan Taylor IND55%-165Wk 4 (2 TDs) · last gameRB3RB3+06 / 22—85.5 rush yds · 19.5 carries · 2.5 catches bet under 2.5
Jaylen Warren PIT35%-1172025 Wk 16 (2 TDs) · 7 games agoRB11RB15+60 / 7—69.5 rush yds · 16.5 carries · 2.5 catches lean under
Seth McGowan IND8%+1000None yetRB61RB51−90 / 0—no line yet
Rico Dowdle PIT Questionable10%+2002025 Wk 15 · 6 games agoRB64RB45−120 / 6—no line yet

Receivers 12

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
DK Metcalf PIT37%+175Wk 3 · 1 game agoWR18WR32+121 / 6—4.5 catches · 53.5 rec yds
Josh Downs IND22%+2352025 Wk 15 · 7 games agoWR28WR28−20 / 4—4.5 catches · 55.5 rec yds
Roman Wilson PIT25%+285Wk 4 · last gameWR42WR53+62 / 4—3.5 catches · 41.5 rec yds
Keenan Allen IND Questionable8%+430Wk 3 · last gameWR64WR61−61 / 2—3.5 catches · 30.5 rec yds
Germie Bernard PIT18%+475None yetWR66WR68−30 / 0—2.5 catches · 19.5 rec yds
Laquon Treadwell IND10%+600None yetWR71——0 / 0—1.5 catches · 16.5 rec yds
Michael Pittman PIT Out——2025 Wk 12 · 9 games agoWR106——0 / 5—no line yet
Ashton Dulin IND Out——None yetWR109——0 / 0—no line yet
Ben Skowronek PIT5%+1750Wk 3 · 1 game agoWR114——1 / 2—no line yet
Deion Burks IND3%+1550None yetWR118——0 / 0—no line yet
Darius Slayton IND Questionable——2025 Wk 13 · 4 games agoWR144——0 / 1—no line yet
Alec Pierce IND Out——2025 Wk 18 (2 TDs) · 2 games ago———0 / 6—no line yet

Tight ends 6

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Tyler Warren IND21%+230Wk 2 · 2 games agoTE7TE4−32 / 6—4.5 catches lean under · 44.5 rec yds
Pat Freiermuth PIT23%+310Wk 4 · last gameTE22TE25+12 / 6—3.5 catches · 27.5 rec yds
Darnell Washington PIT17%+350Wk 4 · last gameTE30TE32+11 / 2—2.5 catches · 22.5 rec yds
Mo Alie-Cox IND1%+22002025 Wk 17 · 2 games agoTE71——0 / 1—no line yet
Robert Tonyan PIT——None yetTE91——0 / 0—no line yet
Will Mallory IND Out——None yetTE112——0 / 0—no line yet

Defenses 2

DefenseFacingRank this weekSacks a gameINTs a gameFumbles recovered a gameDefensive TDsPoints allowed a gameOpponent expected points
SteelersColtsDST72.40.90.8223.420.2
ColtsSteelersDST192.20.60.4025.523.2

Kickers 2

KickerRank this weekField goals a gameMadeFG%LongFrom 50+Points a gameTeam expected points
Spencer Shrader INDK82.211 of 11100%5848.820.2
Chris Boswell PITK111.5927 of 3382%5976.923.2

Back to top

Sun Noon CT

Raiders at Patriots

Patriots by 3.5 · over/under 45-45.5

Expected points: Raiders 20.9, Patriots 24.4 · Outdoors

FinalRaiders 17, Patriots 45

Projected before kickoff

Raiders 20, Patriots 24

Patriots win 61% of the time

Weather at kickoff and through the game

No weather worries 62°F at kickoff · overcast · rain 7% at kickoff, up to 13% later · wind SSE 8 mph, gusts to 15. Forecast updated Sun 9:30 AM CT.

Our bets in this game, graded

  • Won Patriots -3.5 0.25u at −105 +0.24uPatriots won by 28

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Raiders at Patriots
RaidersPatriots
Offense 1.3 1.46
Defense 0 4.53

Raiders

Offense

  • Jalen Nailor WR Out concussion first game out
  • Ashton Jeanty RB Questionable ankle 40% chance he sits

Patriots

Offense

  • Mack Hollins WR Out calf first game out
  • Morgan Moses T Questionable foot 27% chance he sits
  • Rhamondre Stevenson RB Questionable knee 16% chance he sits

Defense

  • Carlton Davis CB Out neck first game out
  • Christian Gonzalez CB Out shoulder
  • Harold Landry OLB IR reserve list
  • Charles Woods CB Questionable shoulder 24% chance he sits
  • Dre'Mont Jones OLB Questionable shoulder 20% chance he sits
  • Craig Woodson SS Questionable shoulder 20% chance he sits
  • Christian Elliss ILB Questionable chest 19% chance he sits
  • Christian Barmore DT Questionable shoulder 14% chance he sits

Most likely to score a TD

  1. Brock Bowers LV TE44%
  2. Romeo Doubs NE WR38%
  3. Mike Washington Jr. LV RB35%
  4. Rhamondre Stevenson NE RB34%
  5. TreVeyon Henderson NE RB33%

Our prop leans

  • Rhamondre Stevenson under 2.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at -106 or better · best price Sun 7:00 AM CT +100 (FanDuel)

Players

Quarterbacks 3

QuarterbackOver/under linesRank this weekPass yds a gameTD passes a gameINTs a gameRushing TDsLast rushing TDGames
Drake Maye NE225.5 pass yds · 31.5 rush ydsQB7238.21.530.943—17
Kirk Cousins LV234.5 pass yds · 0.5 rush ydsQB22209.11.620.6912025 Wk 16 · 6 games ago13
Tommy DeVito NEno line yetQB4730.00.00.00None yet1

Running backs 7

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Ashton Jeanty LV Questionable4%+120Wk 1 (2 TDs) · 3 games agoRB17RB6−62 / 8Toughno line yet
Rhamondre Stevenson NE Questionable34%+138Wk 4 · last gameRB21RB23+01 / 9—37.5 rush yds · 10.5 carries · 2.5 catches lean under
TreVeyon Henderson NE33%+160Wk 2 · 2 games agoRB28RB22−71 / 10—46.5 rush yds · 11.5 carries · 1.5 catches
Mike Washington Jr. LV35%+130Wk 3 · 1 game agoRB36RB43+51 / 1Toughno line yet
Corey Kiner NE3%+1500None yetRB73——0 / 0—no line yet
Reggie Gilliam NE Out——None yetRB87——0 / 0—no line yet
Lan Larison NE——None yet———0 / 0—no line yet

Receivers 12

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Romeo Doubs NE38%+175Wk 4 (2 TDs) · last gameWR24WR34+62 / 5—3.5 catches · 49.5 rec yds
Tre Tucker LV19%+335Wk 2 · 2 games agoWR40WR49+41 / 2—3.5 catches · 40.5 rec yds
DeMario Douglas NE22%+360—WR61WR63+50 / 2—2.5 catches · 25.5 rec yds
Efton Chism III NE15%+500Wk 4 · last gameWR72WR62−41 / 2—1.5 catches · 24.5 rec yds
Cody White LV17%+510Wk 3 · 1 game agoWR75——3 / 4—1.5 catches · 21.5 rec yds
Kyle Williams NE16%+6502025 Wk 16 · 8 games agoWR84WR82+10 / 3—1.5 catches · 12.5 rec yds
Mack Hollins NE Out———WR89——0 / 2—no line yet
Jalen Nailor LV Out——2025 Wk 15 (2 TDs) · 6 games agoWR100——0 / 4—no line yet
Malik Benson LV13%+850None yetWR104WR92−20 / 0—no line yet
Dont'e Thornton Jr. LV Out——None yetWR174——0 / 0—no line yet
Jack Bech LV Out——Wk 1 · 1 game ago———1 / 1—no line yet
A.J. Brown NE Out——2025 Wk 15 · 4 games ago———0 / 7—no line yet

Tight ends 5

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Brock Bowers LV44%+150Wk 4 · last gameTE1TE1+02 / 9—6.5 catches · 73.5 rec yds
Hunter Henry NE26%+200—TE14TE15−10 / 4—3.5 catches · 37.5 rec yds
Michael Mayer LV20%+410Wk 3 · 1 game agoTE26TE24−51 / 2—3.5 catches · 29.5 rec yds
Eli Raridon NE13%+600Wk 1 · 2 games agoTE42TE35—1 / 1—1.5 catches · 10.5 rec yds
Ian Thomas LV6%+2500Wk 4 · last gameTE73——1 / 1—no line yet

Defenses 2

DefenseFacingRank this weekSacks a gameINTs a gameFumbles recovered a gameDefensive TDsPoints allowed a gameOpponent expected points
PatriotsRaidersDST112.20.60.6218.021.0
RaidersPatriotsDST142.40.60.6024.524.5

Kickers 2

KickerRank this weekField goals a gameMadeFG%LongFrom 50+Points a gameTeam expected points
Matt Gay LVK161.6720 of 2387%5927.121.0
Andy Borregales NEK171.4124 of 3275%5936.924.5

Back to top

Sun Noon CT

Vikings at Saints

Vikings by 2-2.5 · over/under 41.5

Expected points: Vikings 21.9, Saints 19.6 · Dome

FinalVikings 23, Saints 13

Projected before kickoff

Vikings 21, Saints 19

Vikings win 57% of the time

Weather

Indoors Weather isn't a factor.

Our bets in this game, graded

  • Not bet Saints +2.5 0.25u at −112Dropped Sunday morning.

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Vikings at Saints
VikingsSaints
Offense 3.64 3.77
Defense 0 2.23

Vikings

Offense

  • Christian Darrisaw T Out concussion first game out
  • Donovan Jackson G IR reserve list first game out
  • Josh Oliver TE IR reserve list
  • Brian O'Neill T Questionable knee 27% chance he sits
  • Justin Jefferson WR Questionable ankle 30% chance he sits
  • Jordan Addison WR Questionable hamstring 24% chance he sits

Saints

Offense

  • Kelvin Banks T IR reserve list
  • Mason Tipton WR IR reserve list
  • Travis Etienne RB IR hamstring
  • Dillon Radunz G IR reserve list

Defense

  • Kaden Elliss ILB Out calf
  • Bryan Bresee DT IR reserve list
  • Julian Blackmon FS Questionable shoulder 23% chance he sits

Most likely to score a TD

  1. Aaron Jones Sr. MIN RB52%
  2. Chris Olave NO WR34%
  3. T.J. Hockenson MIN TE28%
  4. Alvin Kamara NO RB26%
  5. Juwan Johnson NO TE23%

Our prop leans

  • T.J. Hockenson under 4.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at -127 or better · best price Sun 7:00 AM CT -120 (BetMGM)

  • Jordan Addison under 3.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at -141 or better · best price Sun 7:00 AM CT -135 (ESPN BET)

Players

Quarterbacks 3

QuarterbackOver/under linesRank this weekPass yds a gameTD passes a gameINTs a gameRushing TDsLast rushing TDGames
Tyler Shough NO235.5 pass yds · 11.5 rush ydsQB14256.21.360.644Wk 2 · 2 games ago14
Kyler Murray MIN212.5 pass yds · 17.5 rush ydsQB15163.20.250.512025 Wk 5 · 3 games ago4
Carson Wentz MINno line yetQB32193.81.00.60None yet5

Running backs 7

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Aaron Jones MIN52%—Wk 1 · 3 games agoRB14RB24+111 / 4—71.5 rush yds · 17.5 carries · 2.5 catches
Alvin Kamara NO Questionable26%+190Wk 4 (2 TDs) · last gameRB29RB28+02 / 3Tough32.5 rush yds · 10.5 carries · 3.5 catches
Kendre Miller NO22%+425Wk 1 · 2 games agoRB41RB46+21 / 2Tough23.5 rush yds · 6.5 carries
Demond Claiborne MIN16%+1400None yetRB57RB55−80 / 0—no line yet
CJ Donaldson NO9%+1200None yetRB65RB67+10 / 0Toughno line yet
Travis Etienne NO Out——————0 / 11Toughno line yet
Jordan Mason MIN Out——Wk 1 · last game———1 / 7—no line yet

Receivers 8

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Chris Olave NO34%+200Wk 2 · 2 games agoWR7WR9+11 / 10—6.5 catches · 80.5 rec yds
Justin Jefferson MIN Questionable15%+175Wk 1 (2 TDs) · 2 games agoWR16WR12−22 / 3—6.5 catches · 77.5 rec yds
Jordan Addison MIN Questionable15%+250Wk 3 · 1 game agoWR31WR38+41 / 5—3.5 catches lean under · 40.5 rec yds
Devaughn Vele NO9%+350Wk 4 · last gameWR36WR48+92 / 4—3.5 catches · 40.5 rec yds
Jauan Jennings MIN21%+7502025 Wk 17 · 6 games agoWR70WR83+80 / 8—no line yet
Bryce Lance NO9%+900None yetWR85WR76−30 / 0—no line yet
Tai Felton MIN4%+1400None yetWR117WR101+70 / 0—no line yet
Kevin Austin Jr. NO——2025 Wk 17 · 2 games agoWR154——0 / 1—no line yet

Tight ends 6

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Juwan Johnson NO23%+335Wk 3 (2 TDs) · 1 game agoTE11TE10−13 / 5—3.5 catches · 42.5 rec yds
T.J. Hockenson MIN28%+310Wk 1 · 3 games agoTE13TE16−11 / 4—4.5 catches lean under · 36.5 rec yds
Noah Fant NO12%+800Wk 3 (2 TDs) · last gameTE33TE34−23 / 6—1.5 catches · 13.5 rec yds
Gavin Bartholomew MIN7%+1900None yetTE70——0 / 0—no line yet
Ben Yurosek MIN Questionable——None yetTE118——0 / 0—no line yet
Josh Oliver MIN Out——2025 Wk 14 (2 TDs) · 6 games ago———0 / 4—no line yet

Defenses 2

DefenseFacingRank this weekSacks a gameINTs a gameFumbles recovered a gameDefensive TDsPoints allowed a gameOpponent expected points
VikingsSaintsDST23.20.60.6017.920.0
SaintsVikingsDST162.40.60.6122.921.5

Kickers 2

KickerRank this weekField goals a gameMadeFG%LongFrom 50+Points a gameTeam expected points
Will Reichard MINK32.1837 of 3995%59118.221.5
Daniel Carlson NOK211.1820 of 2580%6045.020.0

Back to top

Sun Noon CT

Giants at Commanders

Commanders by 3.5 · over/under 41.5

Expected points: Giants 19, Commanders 22.5 · Outdoors

FinalGiants 27, Commanders 27

Projected before kickoff

Giants 17, Commanders 20

Commanders win 60% of the time

Weather at kickoff and through the game

Windy: E 14 mph, gusts to 31Rain likely: up to 79% 66°F at kickoff · light rain · rain 79% at kickoff · wind E 14 mph, gusts to 31. Forecast updated Sun 9:30 AM CT.

Our bets in this game, graded

  • Not bet Under 42.5 points 0.25u at −115Dropped Sunday morning.
  • Won Malachi Fields under 2.5 catches 0.25u at −161 +0.16uFinished with 2 catches

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Giants at Commanders
GiantsCommanders
Offense 4 2.6
Defense 5.5 2.89

Giants

Offense

  • Jaxson Dart QB IR reserve list

Defense

  • Jason Pinnock FS Out concussion first game out
  • Paulson Adebo CB IR reserve list
  • Chauncey Golston DE IR neck first game out
  • Brian Burns OLB IR reserve list
  • Roy Robertson-Harris DT IR reserve list

Commanders

Offense

  • Stefon Diggs WR Out hamstring first game out
  • Laremy Tunsil T IR reserve list
  • Terry McLaurin WR Questionable hamstring 35% chance he sits

Defense

  • Charles Omenihu DE Out groin first game out
  • Nick Cross SS Out illness
  • Trey Amos CB IR ankle 50% chance he sits

Most likely to score a TD

  1. Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS RB36%
  2. Cam Skattebo NYG RB36%
  3. Jayden Daniels WAS QB27%
  4. Isaiah Likely NYG TE23%
  5. Antonio Williams WAS WR21%

Our prop leans

  • Cam Skattebo under 2.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at -170 or better · best price Sun 7:00 AM CT -160 (Hard Rock)

  • Malik Nabers under 4.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at +109 or better · best price Sun 7:00 AM CT +115 (Hard Rock)

Players

Quarterbacks 5

QuarterbackOver/under linesRank this weekPass yds a gameTD passes a gameINTs a gameRushing TDsLast rushing TDGames
Jayden Daniels WAS191.5 pass yds · 30.5 rush ydsQB10155.61.140.4322025 Wk 9 · 3 games ago7
Jameis Winston NYG200.5 pass yds · 2.5 rush ydsQB23174.30.830.8312025 Wk 12 · 4 games ago6
Athan Kaliakmanis WASno line yetQB35186.01.01.00None yet1
Marcus Mariota WAS Outno line yetQB38152.01.00.5502025 Wk 3 · 12 games ago11
Jaxson Dart NYG Outno line yet—185.51.310.3882025 Wk 17 (2 TDs) · 3 games ago13

Running backs 9

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Cam Skattebo NYG36%+140Wk 1 · 3 games agoRB18RB16−31 / 8—56.5 rush yds · 15.5 carries · 2.5 catches lean under
Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS36%+165Wk 1 · 3 games agoRB23RB25+41 / 7—53.5 rush yds · 13.5 carries · 1.5 catches
Rachaad White WAS14%+240Wk 3 · last gameRB45RB31−161 / 4—23.5 rush yds · 1.5 catches
Najee Harris NYG19%+400None yetRB48RB49−20 / 0—29.5 rush yds
Austin Ekeler WAS12%+550None yetRB53RB63+30 / 0—no line yet
Kaytron Allen WAS——None yetRB78——0 / 0—no line yet
Devin Singletary NYG7%+1000Wk 1 · 1 game agoRB80RB58—1 / 6—no line yet
Patrick Ricard NYG2%+3000None yetRB87——0 / 0—no line yet
Jeremy McNichols WAS Questionable——2025 Wk 3 · 14 games ago———0 / 1—no line yet

Receivers 9

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Malik Nabers NYG3%+225Wk 4 · last gameWR14WR14−31 / 3—4.5 catches lean under · 54.5 rec yds
Stefon Diggs WAS Out——Wk 2 (2 TDs) · 2 games agoWR27——3 / 7—no line yet
Antonio Williams WAS21%+310Wk 1 · 3 games agoWR43WR51+01 / 1—3.5 catches · 33.5 rec yds
Terry McLaurin WAS Questionable6%+210Wk 3 · last gameWR44WR26+01 / 4—3.5 catches · 50.5 rec yds
Malachi Fields NYG18%+480Wk 4 · last gameWR58WR65+11 / 1—2.5 catches bet under 2.5 · 25.5 rec yds
Darnell Mooney NYG11%+7502025 Wk 12 · 10 games agoWR76WR80+60 / 1—1.5 catches · 17.5 rec yds
Treylon Burks WAS15%+350Wk 4 · last gameWR82WR96+112 / 3—no line yet
Dyami Brown WAS14%+5102025 Wk 2 · 13 games agoWR90——0 / 1—no line yet
Odell Beckham Jr. NYG——None yet———0 / 0—no line yet

Tight ends 6

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Isaiah Likely NYG23%+270Wk 1 (2 TDs) · 3 games agoTE8TE11+32 / 3—4.5 catches · 41.5 rec yds
Chig Okonkwo WAS17%+3702025 Wk 17 · 3 games agoTE28TE27−30 / 2Tough3.5 catches · 24.5 rec yds
Theo Johnson NYG9%+900Wk 4 · last gameTE36TE38+01 / 6—no line yet
John Bates WAS6%+14002025 Wk 18 · 2 games agoTE62TE53—0 / 1Toughno line yet
Ben Sinnott WAS4%+17502025 Wk 10 · 7 games agoTE65TE48—0 / 1Toughno line yet
Colson Yankoff WAS2%+4000None yetTE76——0 / 0Toughno line yet

Defenses 2

DefenseFacingRank this weekSacks a gameINTs a gameFumbles recovered a gameDefensive TDsPoints allowed a gameOpponent expected points
CommandersGiantsDST92.30.60.2128.419.0
GiantsCommandersDST181.90.70.5124.522.5

Kickers 2

KickerRank this weekField goals a gameMadeFG%LongFrom 50+Points a gameTeam expected points
Drew Stevens WASK221.757 of 978%5727.022.5
Dominic Zvada NYGK242.259 of 9100%5238.019.0

Back to top

Sunday afternoon Sun, Oct 11

Sun 3:05 PM CT

Broncos at Chargers

Broncos by 3.5 · over/under 41.5-42

Expected points: Broncos 22.6, Chargers 19.1 · Dome

Projected score

Broncos 23, Chargers 19

Broncos win 61% of the time

Weather

Indoors Weather isn't a factor.

Our bets in this game

  • Chargers +3.5 not bet
  • Chargers to win not bet
  • Jaylen Waddle under 4.5 catches 0.25u
  • Troy Franklin under 1.5 catches 0.25u

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Broncos at Chargers
BroncosChargers
Offense 1 7.02
Defense 1.3 3.27

Broncos

Offense

  • Pat Bryant WR IR ankle first game out

Defense

  • Riley Moss CB Out ribs first game out

Chargers

Offense

  • Joe Alt T Out neck first game out
  • Quentin Johnston WR Out chest first game out
  • Kayode Awosika G Out fibula
  • Trevor Penning G Out concussion first game out
  • Trey Pipkins T IR reserve list
  • Branson Taylor G IR neck
  • Charlie Kolar TE Questionable forearm 31% chance he sits

Defense

  • Donte Jackson CB Out hamstring first game out
  • Derwin James SS Out hamstring
  • Denzel Perryman ILB IR reserve list

Most likely to score a TD

  1. J.K. Dobbins DEN RB39%
  2. Keaton Mitchell LAC RB31%
  3. Courtland Sutton DEN WR31%
  4. Jaylen Waddle DEN WR29%
  5. Omarion Hampton LAC RB24%

Our prop leans

  • RJ Harvey under 3.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at +123 or better · best price Sun 7:00 AM CT +130 (FanDuel)

  • Courtland Sutton under 3.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at -143 or better · best price Sun 7:00 AM CT -135 (ESPN BET)

Players

Quarterbacks 3

QuarterbackOver/under linesRank this weekPass yds a gameTD passes a gameINTs a gameRushing TDsLast rushing TDGames
Bo Nix DEN219.5 pass yds · 13.5 rush ydsQB11234.51.50.695Wk 3 · 1 game ago16
Justin Herbert LAC200.5 pass yds · 24.5 rush ydsQB24217.11.380.9422025 Wk 16 · 6 games ago16
Trey Lance LAC Doubtfulno line yetQB4560.70.00.330None yet3

Running backs 7

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Omarion Hampton LAC24%+195Wk 4 · last gameRB25RB19−53 / 8—39.5 rush yds · 11.5 carries · 1.5 catches
J.K. Dobbins DEN39%+1502025 Wk 5 · 9 games agoRB27RB34+30 / 4—48.5 rush yds · 13.5 carries
RJ Harvey DEN18%+2152025 Wk 17 · 6 games agoRB30RB21−60 / 11—26.5 rush yds · 3.5 catches lean under
Keaton Mitchell LAC31%+320Wk 3 · 1 game agoRB33RB37−31 / 2—32.5 rush yds · 7.5 carries
Kimani Vidal LAC19%+750Wk 4 · last gameRB51RB52−11 / 5—no line yet
Tyler Badie DEN11%+800None yetRB62——0 / 0—no line yet
Jonah Coleman DEN Out——Wk 2 · last game———1 / 1—no line yet

Receivers 11

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Jaylen Waddle DEN29%+200Wk 4 · last gameWR20WR18−61 / 5—4.5 catches bet under 4.5 · 55.5 rec yds
Tre Harris LAC21%—2025 Wk 8 · 14 games agoWR34WR41+30 / 1—46.5 rec yds
Courtland Sutton DEN31%+225—WR38WR37−50 / 5—3.5 catches lean under · 38.5 rec yds
Troy Franklin DEN16%+7002025 Wk 15 · 6 games agoWR77WR77+40 / 5—1.5 catches bet under 1.5 · 19.5 rec yds
Marvin Mims Jr. DEN14%+750—WR87WR87+60 / 3—1.5 catches · 13.5 rec yds
Ladd McConkey LAC Questionable3%+225Wk 1 · 3 games agoWR88WR29—1 / 7—3.5 catches · 42.5 rec yds
Marquez Valdes-Scantling LAC7%+6502025 Wk 15 · 6 games agoWR92——0 / 1—no line yet
Quentin Johnston LAC Out——2025 Wk 16 · 6 games agoWR126——0 / 6—no line yet
Lil'Jordan Humphrey DEN———WR130——0 / 2—no line yet
Brenen Thompson LAC Out——None yetWR138——0 / 0—no line yet
Pat Bryant DEN Out——Wk 3 · 1 game agoWR143——1 / 2—no line yet

Tight ends 6

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Oronde Gadsden II LAC23%+340Wk 2 · 2 games agoTE20TE18−31 / 4—3.5 catches · 33.5 rec yds
Evan Engram DEN13%+540Wk 1 · 3 games agoTE31TE28−41 / 1Tough2.5 catches · 17.5 rec yds
Charlie Kolar LAC Questionable7%+7002025 Wk 9 · 7 games agoTE52TE33—0 / 2—no line yet
Nate Adkins DEN7%+1500Wk 3 · last gameTE57——2 / 3Toughno line yet
Adam Trautman DEN6%+11502025 Wk 2 · 12 games agoTE61——0 / 1Toughno line yet
David Njoku LAC Out——2025 Wk 14 · 2 games ago———0 / 4—no line yet

Defenses 2

DefenseFacingRank this weekSacks a gameINTs a gameFumbles recovered a gameDefensive TDsPoints allowed a gameOpponent expected points
BroncosChargersDST43.20.90.2220.619.0
ChargersBroncosDST232.71.20.4021.422.5

Kickers 2

KickerRank this weekField goals a gameMadeFG%LongFrom 50+Points a gameTeam expected points
Wil Lutz DENK191.7129 of 3681%5447.122.5
Cameron Dicker LACK262.1236 of 4188%5948.219.0

Back to top

Sun 3:25 PM CT

Lions at Cardinals

Lions by 5.5 · over/under 54.5

Expected points: Lions 30, Cardinals 24.5 · Retractable roof

Projected score

Lions 30, Cardinals 24

Lions win 65% of the time

Weather

Retractable roof The roof closes for bad weather, so weather isn't a factor.

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Lions at Cardinals
LionsCardinals
Offense 0.75 4.51
Defense 5.51 2.55

Lions

Offense

  • Ben Bartch G Out foot

Defense

  • Rock Ya-Sin CB Out hamstring first game out
  • Brian Branch SS IR achilles
  • Thomas Harper FS IR reserve list
  • Kerby Joseph FS IR reserve list
  • Avonte Maddox FS IR reserve list
  • Tyleik Williams DT Questionable foot 26% chance he sits

Cardinals

Offense

  • Marvin Harrison Jr. WR Out first game out
  • Isaiah Adams G Out ankle first game out
  • Paris Johnson T IR reserve list first game out
  • Trey Benson RB IR reserve list
  • James Conner RB IR reserve list

Defense

  • Andrew Wingard FS Out knee first game out
  • Will Johnson CB IR reserve list
  • Walter Nolen DT Questionable calf 26% chance he sits

Most likely to score a TD

  1. Jahmyr Gibbs DET RB76%
  2. Amon-Ra St. Brown DET WR54%
  3. Michael Wilson ARI WR45%
  4. Trey McBride ARI TE44%
  5. Jeremiyah Love ARI RB34%

Our prop leans

  • Jahmyr Gibbs under 4.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at -104 or better · best price Sun 7:00 AM CT +102 (FanDuel)

  • Sam LaPorta under 4.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at +113 or better · best price Sun 7:00 AM CT +120 (ESPN BET)

Players

Quarterbacks 2

QuarterbackOver/under linesRank this weekPass yds a gameTD passes a gameINTs a gameRushing TDsLast rushing TDGames
Jared Goff DET280.5 pass yds · 0.5 rush ydsQB2285.22.00.350None yet17
Jacoby Brissett ARI268.5 pass yds · 8.5 rush ydsQB6246.11.710.712Wk 3 · 1 game ago17

Running backs 4

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Jahmyr Gibbs DET76%-350Wk 4 · last gameRB1RB1+07 / 21Good89.5 rush yds · 19.5 carries · 4.5 catches lean under
Jeremiyah Love ARI34%-110Wk 3 · 1 game agoRB19RB12−52 / 2—44.5 rush yds · 11.5 carries · 2.5 catches
Tyler Allgeier ARI24%+240Wk 4 · last gameRB38RB35−11 / 7—27.5 rush yds · 7.5 carries · 1.5 catches
Sione Vaki DET12%+750None yetRB58——0 / 0Good8.5 rush yds

Receivers 7

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET54%-135Wk 3 · 1 game agoWR4WR4−15 / 10Good7.5 catches · 80.5 rec yds
Michael Wilson ARI45%+160Wk 3 · 1 game agoWR8WR25+151 / 7—6.5 catches · 79.5 rec yds
Jameson Williams DET29%+1802025 Wk 15 · 7 games agoWR17WR21+10 / 6Good3.5 catches · 52.5 rec yds
Kendrick Bourne ARI24%+380None yetWR55WR70+90 / 0—3.5 catches · 31.5 rec yds
Isaac TeSlaa DET21%+4202025 Wk 17 · 5 games agoWR56WR58+10 / 5Good1.5 catches · 25.5 rec yds
Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI Out——Wk 4 · last gameWR88——1 / 5—no line yet
Jackson Meeks DET——None yetWR164——0 / 0Goodno line yet

Tight ends 4

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Trey McBride ARI44%+110Wk 2 · 2 games agoTE2TE2+02 / 12Good7.5 catches · 84.5 rec yds
Sam LaPorta DET31%+175Wk 4 · last gameTE4TE6+32 / 5—4.5 catches lean under · 50.5 rec yds
Elijah Higgins ARI11%+1100Wk 4 · last gameTE46——1 / 1Good1.5 catches · 9.5 rec yds
Brock Wright DET9%+7002025 Wk 5 · 8 games agoTE54——0 / 2—no line yet

Defenses 2

DefenseFacingRank this weekSacks a gameINTs a gameFumbles recovered a gameDefensive TDsPoints allowed a gameOpponent expected points
LionsCardinalsDST202.90.70.3026.624.5
CardinalsLionsDST301.80.60.6031.230.0

Kickers 2

KickerRank this weekField goals a gameMadeFG%LongFrom 50+Points a gameTeam expected points
Jake Bates DETK41.6528 of 3385%5947.930.0
Chad Ryland ARIK141.4725 of 3278%6056.624.5

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Sun 3:25 PM CT

49ers at Seahawks

Seahawks by 3 · over/under 46.5

Expected points: 49ers 21.8, Seahawks 24.8 · Outdoors

Projected score

49ers 21, Seahawks 24

Seahawks win 58% of the time

Weather at kickoff and through the game

No weather worries 57°F at kickoff · clear · little or no rain expected · wind N 10 mph, gusts to 18. Forecast updated Sun 9:30 AM CT.

Our bets in this game

  • Seahawks -3 0.5u
  • Christian McCaffrey under 4.5 catches 0.25u
  • Deebo Samuel under 3.5 catches 0.25u

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, 49ers at Seahawks
49ersSeahawks
Offense 2.04 1.52
Defense 4.59 0.02

49ers

Offense

  • Ricky Pearsall WR IR reserve list
  • Demarcus Robinson WR IR reserve list

Defense

  • Nick Bosa DE Out knee
  • Marques Sigle SS Out ankle first game out
  • Sam Okuayinonu DE IR reserve list
  • Mykel Williams DE IR knee 44% chance he sits
  • Upton Stout CB Questionable shoulder 42% chance he sits

Seahawks

Offense

  • Anthony Bradford G IR reserve list
  • Zach Charbonnet RB IR knee

Most likely to score a TD

  1. Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA WR55%
  2. Christian McCaffrey SF RB49%
  3. Emanuel Wilson SEA RB43%
  4. Mike Evans SF WR30%
  5. Deebo Samuel Sr. SF WR28%

Our prop leans

  • Rashid Shaheed under 2.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at -170 or better · best price Sun 7:00 AM CT -160 (Hard Rock)

  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba under 6.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at +110 or better · best price Sun 7:00 AM CT +116 (DraftKings)

Players

Quarterbacks 4

QuarterbackOver/under linesRank this weekPass yds a gameTD passes a gameINTs a gameRushing TDsLast rushing TDGames
Brock Purdy SF228.5 pass yds · 24.5 rush ydsQB9230.02.230.774Wk 2 · 2 games ago13
Sam Darnold SEA232.5 pass yds · 5.5 rush ydsQB16220.41.50.810None yet16
Drew Lock SEAno line yetQB36105.51.00.00None yet4
Mac Jones SFno line yetQB40100.30.780.330None yet9

Running backs 7

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Christian McCaffrey SF49%-135Wk 4 · last gameRB6RB8+14 / 19—49.5 rush yds · 14.5 carries · 4.5 catches bet under 4.5
Emanuel Wilson SEA43%-117Wk 4 (2 TDs) · last gameRB15RB32+172 / 5—64.5 rush yds · 16.5 carries · 1.5 catches
George Holani SEA Questionable18%+3002025 Wk 10 · 7 games agoRB42RB57+130 / 1—18.5 rush yds · 1.5 catches
Kaelon Black SF9%+850None yetRB47RB38−70 / 0—14.5 rush yds
Jadarian Price SEA Out——None yet———0 / 0—no line yet
Brady Russell SEA——None yet———0 / 0—no line yet
Zach Charbonnet SEA Out——2025 Wk 18 · 1 game ago———0 / 12—no line yet

Receivers 10

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA55%-115Wk 3 (2 TDs) · 1 game agoWR1WR1+06 / 14—6.5 catches lean under · 95.5 rec yds
Mike Evans SF30%+210Wk 3 · 1 game agoWR21WR23+12 / 5—3.5 catches · 50.5 rec yds
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF28%—Wk 4 · last gameWR25WR31+13 / 7—3.5 catches bet under 3.5 · 34.5 rec yds
Rashid Shaheed SEA24%+340Wk 4 · last gameWR52WR47−11 / 1—2.5 catches lean under · 20.5 rec yds
Cooper Kupp SEA22%+380Wk 3 · 1 game agoWR65WR64+41 / 3—2.5 catches · 23.5 rec yds
Tory Horton SEA11%+625Wk 4 · last gameWR89WR73−101 / 6—1.5 catches · 9.5 rec yds
Jordan Watkins SF6%+1500None yetWR98——0 / 0—no line yet
Brandin Cooks SF8%+900None yetWR108——0 / 0—no line yet
Demarcus Robinson SF Out——Wk 1 · 1 game ago———1 / 3—no line yet
Irvin Charles SEA Questionable——None yet———0 / 0—no line yet

Tight ends 3

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
George Kittle SF28%+190Wk 4 · last gameTE3TE5+14 / 11—4.5 catches · 54.5 rec yds
AJ Barner SEA19%+340Wk 2 · 2 games agoTE27TE26+11 / 5—2.5 catches · 21.5 rec yds
Elijah Arroyo SEA5%+10502025 Wk 9 · 6 games agoTE50TE42—0 / 1—no line yet

Defenses 2

DefenseFacingRank this weekSacks a gameINTs a gameFumbles recovered a gameDefensive TDsPoints allowed a gameOpponent expected points
Seahawks49ersDST132.61.10.8216.221.8
49ersSeahawksDST251.30.40.4121.624.8

Kickers 2

KickerRank this weekField goals a gameMadeFG%LongFrom 50+Points a gameTeam expected points
Jason Myers SEAK72.4141 of 4493%57610.124.8
Eddy Pineiro SFK131.3320 of 2387%5756.921.8

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Sunday night Sun, Oct 11

Sun 7:20 PM CT · Sunday Night Football

Ravens at Falcons

Falcons by 3.5 · over/under 43.5

Expected points: Ravens 20, Falcons 23.5 · Retractable roof

Projected score

Ravens 20, Falcons 23

Falcons win 60% of the time

Weather

Retractable roof The roof closes for bad weather, so weather isn't a factor.

Our bets in this game

  • Under 43.5 points not bet
  • Zay Flowers under 5.5 catches 0.25u

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Ravens at Falcons
RavensFalcons
Offense 5.87 0.19
Defense 1.46 3.92

Ravens

Offense

  • Lamar Jackson QB Out ankle first game out
  • Jovaughn Gwyn C IR reserve list
  • Durham Smythe TE IR achilles first game out

Defense

  • Trey Hendrickson OLB Out finger
  • Marlon Humphrey CB Questionable hamstring 36% chance he sits

Falcons

Offense

  • Jake Matthews T Questionable groin 15% chance he sits

Defense

  • AJ Terrell CB IR reserve list
  • James Pearce OLB IR reserve list
  • Jalon Walker OLB IR reserve list
  • Samson Ebukam DE Questionable hamstring 31% chance he sits
  • Divine Deablo ILB Questionable hamstring 28% chance he sits

Most likely to score a TD

  1. Bijan Robinson ATL RB63%
  2. Derrick Henry BAL RB61%
  3. Drake London ATL WR39%
  4. Brian Robinson Jr. ATL RB24%
  5. Mark Andrews BAL TE24%

Our prop leans

  • Mark Andrews under 3.5 catches

    The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.

    Worth it at +113 or better · best price Sun 7:00 AM CT +120 (BetMGM)

Players

Quarterbacks 5

QuarterbackOver/under linesRank this weekPass yds a gameTD passes a gameINTs a gameRushing TDsLast rushing TDGames
Michael Penix Jr. ATL219.5 pass yds · 0.5 rush ydsQB25220.41.140.1402025 Wk 1 · 10 games ago7
Tyler Huntley BAL173.5 pass yds · 29.5 rush ydsQB2781.50.330.00None yet6
Lamar Jackson BAL Outno line yetQB31203.61.310.542Wk 1 · 3 games ago13
Cooper Rush ATLno line yetQB48120.00.252.00None yet4
Jack Strand ATLno line yet—59.00.01.00None yet1

Running backs 4

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Bijan Robinson ATL63%-220Wk 4 (2 TDs) · last gameRB2RB2+15 / 14—86.5 rush yds · 18.5 carries · 3.5 catches
Derrick Henry BAL61%-140Wk 4 · last gameRB5RB4+07 / 20—79.5 rush yds · 19.5 carries · 1.5 catches
Brian Robinson ATL24%+250Wk 4 (3 TDs) · last gameRB32RB36+04 / 6—35.5 rush yds · 8.5 carries
Justice Hill BAL18%+7002025 Wk 10 · 4 games agoRB54RB62−10 / 3—11.5 rush yds · 1.5 catches

Receivers 11

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Drake London ATL39%+1252025 Wk 18 · 4 games agoWR6WR8+20 / 7Tough6.5 catches · 80.5 rec yds
Zay Flowers BAL Questionable5%+215Wk 4 · last gameWR11WR6−52 / 7—5.5 catches bet under 5.5 · 68.5 rec yds
Rashod Bateman BAL5%+500Wk 2 · 2 games agoWR60WR55−101 / 3—1.5 catches · 17.5 rec yds
Jahan Dotson ATL15%+500Wk 4 · last gameWR74WR79+61 / 2Tough1.5 catches · 19.5 rec yds
Zachariah Branch ATL8%+1100None yetWR91WR85−10 / 0Toughno line yet
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL10%+900—WR94WR95+40 / 3Tough0.5 catches · 7.5 rec yds
Devontez Walker BAL9%+10002025 Wk 18 · 3 games agoWR96——0 / 3—0.5 catches · 8.5 rec yds
Chris Moore BAL3%+2250Wk 3 · last gameWR105——1 / 2—no line yet
Elijah Sarratt BAL2%+2500None yetWR110WR84—0 / 0—no line yet
LaJohntay Wester BAL2%+2250None yetWR133——0 / 0—no line yet
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL Out——None yet———0 / 0—no line yet

Tight ends 5

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Mark Andrews BAL24%+260Wk 4 · last gameTE12TE17+31 / 5—3.5 catches lean under · 31.5 rec yds
Kyle Pitts ATL15%—2025 Wk 16 · 6 games agoTE25TE21−50 / 4Tough2.5 catches · 24.5 rec yds
Matthew Hibner BAL——Wk 3 · 1 game agoTE38TE39—1 / 1—no line yet
Austin Hooper ATL9%+950Wk 3 · 1 game agoTE45——1 / 3Tough0.5 catches · 7.5 rec yds
Charlie Woerner ATL3%+2000None yetTE78——0 / 0Toughno line yet

Defenses 2

DefenseFacingRank this weekSacks a gameINTs a gameFumbles recovered a gameDefensive TDsPoints allowed a gameOpponent expected points
FalconsRavensDST153.20.80.4123.920.2
RavensFalconsDST171.90.70.6121.223.2

Kickers 2

KickerRank this weekField goals a gameMadeFG%LongFrom 50+Points a gameTeam expected points
Tyler Loop BALK151.7129 of 3583%6437.720.2
Nick Folk ATLK171.6927 of 3187%5646.623.2

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Monday night Mon, Oct 12

Mon 7:15 PM CT · Monday Night Football

Bills at Rams

Rams by 3.5 · over/under 54.5

Expected points: Bills 25.5, Rams 29 · Dome

Projected score

Bills 25, Rams 29

Rams win 60% of the time

Weather

Indoors Weather isn't a factor.

Our bets in this game

  • Rams -3 0.5u
  • Under 54.5 points not bet

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Bills at Rams
BillsRams
Offense 1.28 0.85
Defense 0.77 2.63

Bills

Offense

  • Tyrell Shavers WR IR reserve list
  • D.J. Moore WR Questionable shoulder 28% chance he sits

Defense

  • Dee Alford CB Questionable ankle 33% chance he sits

Rams

Offense

  • Terrance Ferguson TE IR ankle

Defense

  • Myles Garrett OLB IR reserve list
  • Quentin Lake FS Questionable hip 28% chance he sits

Most likely to score a TD

  1. Kyren Williams LA RB60%
  2. Puka Nacua LA WR51%
  3. Josh Allen BUF QB49%
  4. Davante Adams LA WR47%
  5. Khalil Shakir BUF WR39%

Our prop leans

No prop leans in this game yet.

Players

Quarterbacks 3

QuarterbackOver/under linesRank this weekPass yds a gameTD passes a gameINTs a gameRushing TDsLast rushing TDGames
Josh Allen BUF244.5 pass yds · 36.5 rush ydsQB1241.61.50.6920Wk 4 · last game16
Matthew Stafford LA278.5 pass yds · 0.5 rush ydsQB4292.12.410.760None yet17
Stetson Bennett LAno line yet—13.00.00.00None yet1

Running backs 5

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Kyren Williams LA60%-170Wk 4 (2 TDs) · last gameRB4RB10+54 / 16Good69.5 rush yds · 14.5 carries · 2.5 catches
James Cook BUF10%—Wk 4 · last gameRB10RB5−13 / 12—75.5 rush yds · 16.5 carries · 1.5 catches
Blake Corum LA24%+2952025 Wk 16 · 9 games agoRB33RB20−190 / 5Good36.5 rush yds
Ty Johnson BUF20%+6502025 Wk 18 (2 TDs) · 2 games agoRB53RB72+80 / 5—1.5 catches
Ronnie Rivers LA Out——None yet———0 / 0Goodno line yet

Receivers 9

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Puka Nacua LA51%-120Wk 4 · last gameWR2WR3+21 / 13—7.5 catches · 94.5 rec yds
Davante Adams LA47%+100Wk 2 (2 TDs) · 2 games agoWR9WR19+72 / 14—4.5 catches · 62.5 rec yds
Khalil Shakir BUF39%+2502025 Wk 14 · 9 games agoWR34WR39−70 / 2—4.5 catches · 46.5 rec yds
Keon Coleman BUF31%+260Wk 4 · last gameWR36WR46+31 / 5—2.5 catches · 38.5 rec yds
DJ Moore BUF Questionable5%+185Wk 1 · 3 games agoWR57WR20−181 / 9—no line yet
Konata Mumpfield LA8%+850Wk 3 · 1 game agoWR95WR66−231 / 2—0.5 catches · 7.5 rec yds
Jordan Whittington LA8%+1000None yetWR100——0 / 0—0.5 catches · 5.5 rec yds
Tutu Atwell LA2%+17502025 Wk 4 · 6 games agoWR109WR88−40 / 1—no line yet
Josh Palmer BUF Out——Wk 2 · 1 game agoWR115——2 / 2—no line yet

Tight ends 7

PlayerTD chanceTD oddsLast TDRank this weekSeason rankThis week vs seasonTDs 2026 / last 17MatchupOver/under lines
Dalton Kincaid BUF34%+185Wk 2 · 2 games agoTE6TE3−31 / 7—4.5 catches · 56.5 rec yds
Tyler Higbee LA19%+250Wk 3 · 1 game agoTE23TE29+111 / 4—2.5 catches · 23.5 rec yds
Colby Parkinson LA19%+280—TE34TE35—0 / 9—1.5 catches · 16.5 rec yds
Dawson Knox BUF18%+600Wk 2 · 2 games agoTE35TE42—1 / 4—1.5 catches · 10.5 rec yds
Davis Allen LA7%+8502025 Wk 10 · 10 games agoTE44——0 / 1—no line yet
Jackson Hawes BUF8%+12002025 Wk 14 · 4 games agoTE63——0 / 3—no line yet
Terrance Ferguson LA Out——Wk 2 · 1 game ago———1 / 4—no line yet

Defenses 2

DefenseFacingRank this weekSacks a gameINTs a gameFumbles recovered a gameDefensive TDsPoints allowed a gameOpponent expected points
RamsBillsDST241.91.10.3123.025.5
BillsRamsDST271.90.90.4123.129.0

Kickers 2

KickerRank this weekField goals a gameMadeFG%LongFrom 50+Points a gameTeam expected points
Harrison Mevis LAK91.4423 of 2688%5227.929.0
Tyler Bass BUFK101.56 of 6100%4607.825.5

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