Sunday Squeeze · NFL Week 5

Matchup Sheet

Every Week 5 game: kickoffs, spreads and totals, weather, who’s out, touchdown chances, player ranks and touchdown droughts, and the numbers for every position. Our bets go up Thursday night; first-TD picks later in the week.

Games already played stay on the page as they looked before kickoff, with the final score and our bets graded. Pick a game in the bar at the top to jump straight to it; the bar stays pinned as you scroll. The filter under “Find a game” shows only what’s still to play or the games we bet.

Updated Sat Oct 10, 12:36 PM CT · game lines Thu 11:00 PM · player lines Thu 5:28 PM · TD odds Thu 5:28 PM · weather Sat 12:30 PM · injuries Sat 9:00 AM CT · bet results 5:15 AM

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How our bets are doing

Every bet on our card, graded from the scores. This section updates after each game ends; last updated Friday 5:15 AM CT, with scores and stats from ESPN. Results use the odds on our card, or −110 where none was written down. A unit (u) is a normal-size bet.

Record so far

2-0

won-lost, 2 bets settled

Units won or lost

+1.52u

on 1.75u bet so far

Still to play

bets, 14.05u

Sides 1-0, +0.84u · 10 still to play
Unders 1-0, +0.68u · 6 still to play
Player props 0-0, 0.00u · 38 still to play

Still to play

Eagles at JaguarsSun 8:30 AM CT · Game notes

Not started
Eagles +7.5 0.5u at −112
Not started
Jalen Hurts under 6.5 carries 0.25u at −128
Not started
Jakobi Meyers to score a TD 0.1u at +275

Bears at PackersSun 12:00 PM CT · Game notes

Not started
Packers to win 0.5u at +100
Not started
Under 45.5 points 0.25u at −102
Not started
Rome Odunze under 3.5 catches 0.25u at −162
Not started
Kaleb Johnson under 36.5 rushing yards 0.25u at −116
Not started
Luther Burden III to score a TD 0.1u at +230

Bengals at DolphinsSun 12:00 PM CT · Game notes

Not started
Chase Brown under 16.5 carries 0.25u at −106
Not started
Malik Willis under 33.5 rushing yards 0.25u at −116
Not started
Malik Washington to score a TD 0.1u at +320

Browns at JetsSun 12:00 PM CT · Game notes

Not started
Jets -2.5 0.5u at −110
Not started
Under 39.5 points 0.25u at −108
Not started
KC Concepcion under 4.5 catches 0.25u at −139
Not started
Quinshon Judkins under 15.5 carries 0.25u at −101
Not started
Isaiah Williams to score a TD 0.1u at +400

Texans at TitansSun 12:00 PM CT · Game notes

Not started
Titans +7.5 0.5u at −115
Not started
Xavier Hutchinson over 1.5 catches 0.25u at +130
Not started
Carnell Tate under 4.5 catches 0.25u at −145
Not started
Kayshon Boutte to score a TD 0.1u at +475

Colts at SteelersSun 12:00 PM CT · Game notes

Not started
Colts to win 0.25u at +124
Not started
Under 44.5 points 0.5u at −118
Not started
Jonathan Taylor under 2.5 catches 0.25u at −109
Not started
Pat Freiermuth under 3.5 catches 0.25u at −143
Not started
Germie Bernard to score a TD 0.1u at +400

Raiders at PatriotsSun 12:00 PM CT · Game notes

Not started
Tre Tucker over 3.5 catches 0.25u at +111
Not started
Drake Maye under 31.5 rushing yards 0.25u at −113
Not started
Romeo Doubs to score a TD 0.1u at +170

Vikings at SaintsSun 12:00 PM CT · Game notes

Not started
Saints +2.5 0.25u at −112
Not started
Juwan Johnson under 4.5 catches 0.25u at −127

Giants at CommandersSun 12:00 PM CT · Game notes

Not started
Under 42.5 points 0.25u at −115
Not started
Jacory Croskey-Merritt under 55.5 rushing yards 0.25u at −109
Not started
Malachi Fields under 2.5 catches 0.25u at −161
Not started
Najee Harris to score a TD 0.1u at +425

Broncos at ChargersSun 3:05 PM CT · Game notes

Not started
Chargers +3.5 0.5u at −118
Not started
Chargers to win 0.25u at +150
Not started
Jaylen Waddle under 4.5 catches 0.25u at −120
Not started
Troy Franklin under 1.5 catches 0.25u at −110
Not started
Kimani Vidal to score a TD 0.1u at +550

Lions at CardinalsSun 3:25 PM CT · Game notes

Not started
Marvin Harrison Jr. under 2.5 catches 0.25u at +110
Not started
Kendrick Bourne under 2.5 catches 0.25u at −136
Not started
Jameson Williams to score a TD 0.1u at +180

49ers at SeahawksSun 3:25 PM CT · Game notes

Not started
Seahawks -3 0.5u at −110
Not started
Christian McCaffrey under 4.5 catches 0.25u at +101
Not started
Deebo Samuel under 3.5 catches 0.25u at −121
Not started
Cooper Kupp to score a TD 0.1u at +340

Ravens at FalconsSun 7:20 PM CT · Game notes

Not started
Under 43.5 points 0.25u at −105
Not started
Zay Flowers under 5.5 catches 0.25u at −126
Not started
Derrick Henry under 85.5 rushing yards 0.25u at −114
Not started
Drake London to score a TD 0.1u at +125

Bills at RamsMon 7:15 PM CT · Game notes

Not started
Rams -3 0.5u at −120
Not started
Under 54.5 points 0.75u at −102
Not started
Dalton Kincaid under 52.5 receiving yards 0.25u at −114
Not started
Khalil Shakir to score a TD 0.1u at +245

Finished

Buccaneers 24, Cowboys 16Final · Game notes

Won
Buccaneers +9.5 1u at −119
Buccaneers won by 8
+0.84u
Won
Under 48.5 points 0.75u at −110
Final total 40, 8.5 points under
+0.68u

Covers Clayton’s card below.

Projected score: Our projected final score. The win % is each team’s chance to win.
TD chance: How likely a player is to score at least one touchdown. TD odds are the best price at the last update, shown once two or more sportsbooks have posted one.
Worth it at: The worst odds that still pay enough. Take those odds or better; if the book is offering less, skip it.
Ranks: Rankings are based on various sources, for this week and for the rest of the season. Each game lists its players by position (QB, RB, WR, TE, defense, kicker), best rank this week first; players without a rank come last. This week vs season: a plus means he ranks higher this week; green or red marks a big gap.
Last TD: When he last scored a touchdown, and how many of his games ago.
Matchup: Good: the defense gives up touchdowns to his position and his team scores there a lot. Tough: the opposite.
Injury score: Starters likely to miss the game, weighted by position (starting QB = 4) and by each one’s chance of sitting. Both teams side by side for every game. Green under 1, amber 1-3, red 3 or more.
Lines: The sportsbooks’ over/under numbers. Bet marks our bets, lean marks smaller leans. Skip any of them if the line moves.

Find a game

Thursday night

TB @ DALFinal

Sunday morning

PHI @ JAX

Sunday noon

CHI @ GB CIN @ MIA CLE @ NYJ HOU @ TEN IND @ PIT LV @ NE MIN @ NO NYG @ WAS

Sunday afternoon

DEN @ LAC DET @ ARI SF @ SEA

Sunday night

BAL @ ATL

Monday night

BUF @ LA

Our bets this week

Clayton’s card, posted Thursday night, Oct 8. Prices as of Thursday night (props and touchdowns from Thursday afternoon). The two Thursday-night bets were picked before kickoff and added after the game. The Sunday games get a last check Sunday morning; any change shows here. 1 unit (u) is a normal bet; 0.25u is a quarter of one.

Sides

Buccaneers +9.5 1u TB @ DAL
Picked before Thursday's kickoff; added to the card after the game.
Eagles +7.5 0.5u PHI @ JAX
More than a touchdown at a neutral site in London.
Titans +7.5 0.5u HOU @ TEN
The home team is getting more than a touchdown in a division game.
Chargers +3.5 0.5u DEN @ LAC
A home underdog getting more than a field goal.
Seahawks -3 0.5u SF @ SEA
Home favorite by a field goal in a division game.
Jets -2.5 0.5u CLE @ NYJ
Home favorite by less than a field goal.
Saints +2.5 0.25u MIN @ NO
A home underdog getting points.
Rams -3 0.5u BUF @ LA
Monday night at home, laying a field goal.
Packers to win 0.5u CHI @ GB
Chicago starts its backup quarterback with Caleb Williams out, and Green Bay is at home.
Chargers to win 0.25u DEN @ LAC
A small piece on the home underdog winning outright, beside the points.
Colts to win 0.25u IND @ PIT
Better than even odds in a game lined under a field goal.

Unders

Under 48.5 points 0.75u TB @ DAL
Picked before Thursday's kickoff; added to the card after the game.
Under 54.5 points 0.75u BUF @ LA
Tied for the highest total of the week, indoors at SoFi.
Under 44.5 points 0.5u IND @ PIT
Heavy rain is forecast at kickoff in Pittsburgh, and the Steelers have scored about 19 points a game lately.
Under 42.5 points 0.25u NYG @ WAS
The Giants are down to their third quarterback (Jaxson Dart on injured reserve, Marcus Mariota very unlikely), with rain in the forecast.
Under 45.5 points 0.25u CHI @ GB
Chicago starts its backup quarterback, and Green Bay has scored about 18 points a game lately.
Under 39.5 points 0.25u CLE @ NYJ
Both offenses have scored about 19 to 20 points a game lately, with rain possible at kickoff.
Under 43.5 points 0.25u BAL @ ATL
Lamar Jackson is listed as very unlikely to play.

Player props

Jalen Hurts under 6.5 carries 0.25u PHI @ JAX
5 or fewer carries in each of his last three games.
Rome Odunze under 3.5 catches 0.25u CHI @ GB
3 or fewer catches in 3 of 4 games, now with Chicago's backup quarterback.
Kaleb Johnson under 36.5 rushing yards 0.25u CHI @ GB
Under 36.5 rushing yards in 3 of his 4 games.
Chase Brown under 16.5 carries 0.25u CIN @ MIA
13 and 9 carries the last two weeks.
Malik Willis under 33.5 rushing yards 0.25u CIN @ MIA
Under this number in 2 of 4 games, with 11 rushing yards last week.
Tre Tucker over 3.5 catches 0.25u LV @ NE
4 or more catches in 3 of his 4 games.
Drake Maye under 31.5 rushing yards 0.25u LV @ NE
Under 20 rushing yards in 2 of his 4 games.
Juwan Johnson under 4.5 catches 0.25u MIN @ NO
4 or fewer catches in 2 of 4 games.
KC Concepcion under 4.5 catches 0.25u CLE @ NYJ
4 or fewer catches in 2 of 4 games; Cleveland is the road underdog.
Quinshon Judkins under 15.5 carries 0.25u CLE @ NYJ
Fewer than 13 carries in 2 of his 4 games.
Jonathan Taylor under 2.5 catches 0.25u IND @ PIT
2 catches or fewer in each of his last two games.
Pat Freiermuth under 3.5 catches 0.25u IND @ PIT
3 catches or fewer in each of his last two games, with heavy rain forecast.
Xavier Hutchinson over 1.5 catches 0.25u HOU @ TEN
3 catches in every game this season.
Carnell Tate under 4.5 catches 0.25u HOU @ TEN
4 or fewer catches in 2 of his 4 games.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt under 55.5 rushing yards 0.25u NYG @ WAS
His rushing yards have dropped every week: 63, 43, 36, 15.
Malachi Fields under 2.5 catches 0.25u NYG @ WAS
Exactly 2 catches in every game this season.
Jaylen Waddle under 4.5 catches 0.25u DEN @ LAC
4 or fewer catches in 2 of his 4 games.
Troy Franklin under 1.5 catches 0.25u DEN @ LAC
One catch or fewer in every game he has played this season.
Marvin Harrison Jr. under 2.5 catches 0.25u DET @ ARI
Fewer than 3 catches in 3 of his 4 games.
Kendrick Bourne under 2.5 catches 0.25u DET @ ARI
2 catches in each of his last two games.
Christian McCaffrey under 4.5 catches 0.25u SF @ SEA
4 or fewer catches in each of his last three games.
Deebo Samuel under 3.5 catches 0.25u SF @ SEA
3 or fewer catches in 2 of his 4 games.
Zay Flowers under 5.5 catches 0.25u BAL @ ATL
Baltimore is likely without Lamar Jackson.
Derrick Henry under 85.5 rushing yards 0.25u BAL @ ATL
Under this number in 2 of his 4 games.
Dalton Kincaid under 52.5 receiving yards 0.25u BUF @ LA
38 and 7 receiving yards the last two weeks.
Jakobi Meyers to score a TD 0.1u PHI @ JAX
Two touchdowns this season and three end-zone targets.
Luther Burden III to score a TD 0.1u CHI @ GB
One of Chicago's main red-zone targets.
Malik Washington to score a TD 0.1u CIN @ MIA
Has stepped up with Caleb Douglas sidelined.
Romeo Doubs to score a TD 0.1u LV @ NE
Two touchdowns last week.
Isaiah Williams to score a TD 0.1u CLE @ NYJ
Scored last week.
Germie Bernard to score a TD 0.1u IND @ PIT
A long price on a receiver whose role is growing.
Kayshon Boutte to score a TD 0.1u HOU @ TEN
A long price on a receiver in the rotation.
Najee Harris to score a TD 0.1u NYG @ WAS
Gets carries near the goal line.
Kimani Vidal to score a TD 0.1u DEN @ LAC
Scored last week.
Jameson Williams to score a TD 0.1u DET @ ARI
A big-play threat in Sunday's highest-total game.
Cooper Kupp to score a TD 0.1u SF @ SEA
Scored in Week 3.
Drake London to score a TD 0.1u BAL @ ATL
Atlanta's top target.
Khalil Shakir to score a TD 0.1u BUF @ LA
One of Buffalo's main red-zone targets.

Weather to watch

Forecasts for the 9 outdoor games, kickoff through the final whistle (updated Sat 12:30 PM CT; every 30 minutes on game day). The other 6 games are indoors or under a retractable roof. Forecasts four days out can change a lot.

Bears at Packers Windy: SSW 14 mph, gusts to 26
Bengals at Dolphins Hot: 90°F
Browns at Jets Windy: E 10 mph, gusts to 24Rain likely: up to 84%
Colts at Steelers Windy: ESE 16 mph, gusts to 36Rain likely: up to 53%
Giants at Commanders Rain likely: up to 69%

Injury scores by matchup

Starters only: the players who start when healthy (how much they play when available, last season included for anyone hurt early). Each one counts by position (a starting quarterback 4; tackles, edge rushers and corners 1.25; most other starters 1; guards, tight ends and running backs 0.75) times his chance of sitting out: 100% for out or injured reserve, 99% for doubtful, and otherwise a chance from this week's practice reports (no practice all week is about 80-95%). 0 means fully healthy. Names listed are 50%+ to sit. Game-day statuses for 2 of these teams come out later in the week (Friday for Sunday games), so these scores will move.

Eagles at JaguarsSun 8:30 AM CT

Injury scores, Eagles at Jaguars
	Eagles	Jaguars
Offense	3.5	0.75
Defense	1	0.99

Likely to sit

Eagles: Marcus Epps (SS), Drew Kendall (C), DeVonta Smith (WR), Saquon Barkley (RB), Landon Dickerson (G)
Jaguars: Patrick Mekari (G), Eric Murray (SS, 99%)

Bears at PackersSun Noon CT

Injury scores, Bears at Packers
	Bears	Packers
Offense	3.44	3.48
Defense	0.89	3

Likely to sit

Bears: Braxton Jones (T), Kyler Gordon (CB, 70%), Caleb Williams (QB, 55%)
Packers: Zach Bako-Bewele (T), Johnathan Baldwin (FS), Edgerrin Cooper (ILB), Micah Parsons (OLB), Jacob Monk (C, 99%), Aaron Banks (G, 99%)

Bengals at DolphinsSun Noon CT

Injury scores, Bengals at Dolphins
	Bengals	Dolphins
Offense	1.25	1.75
Defense	1.56	0

Likely to sit

Bengals: Jalen Davis (CB), Andrei Iosivas (WR)
Dolphins: Caleb Douglas (WR), De'Von Achane (RB)

Browns at JetsSun Noon CT

Injury scores, Browns at Jets
	Browns	Jets
Offense	0.75	2.5
Defense	2.25	1.16

Likely to sit

Browns: Alex Wright (DE), Mason Graham (DT), Teven Jenkins (G)
Jets: Adonai Mitchell (WR), David Onyemata (DT), Breece Hall (RB), Dylan Parham (G)

Texans at TitansSun Noon CT

Injury scores, Texans at Titans
	Texans	Titans
Offense	1.78	0.93
Defense	2.46	2

Likely to sit

Texans: Jayden Higgins (WR), E.J. Speed (OLB), Henry To'oTo'o (OLB)
Titans: Jaylen Harrell (OLB), Amani Hooker (FS), Fernando Carmona (G)

Colts at SteelersSun Noon CT

Injury scores, Colts at Steelers
	Colts	Steelers
Offense	0.16	1
Defense	3.73	2.49

Likely to sit

Colts: Arden Key (DE), Cameron Mitchell (CB), Jaylon Carlies (ILB)
Steelers: Jamel Dean (CB), DeShon Elliott (SS), Michael Pittman Jr. (WR)

Raiders at PatriotsSun Noon CT

Injury scores, Raiders at Patriots
	Raiders	Patriots
Offense	1.3	1.47
Defense	0	4.53

Likely to sit

Raiders: Jalen Nailor (WR)
Patriots: Carlton Davis (CB), Christian Gonzalez (CB), Mack Hollins (WR), Harold Landry (OLB)

Vikings at SaintsSun Noon CT

Injury scores, Vikings at Saints
	Vikings	Saints
Offense	3.64	3.77
Defense	0	2.23

Likely to sit

Vikings: Christian Darrisaw (T), Donovan Jackson (G), Josh Oliver (TE)
Saints: Kelvin Banks (T), Bryan Bresee (DT), Kaden Elliss (ILB), Mason Tipton (WR), Travis Etienne (RB), Dillon Radunz (G)

Giants at CommandersSun Noon CT

Injury scores, Giants at Commanders
	Giants	Commanders
Offense	4	2.6
Defense	5.5	2.89

Likely to sit

Giants: Jaxson Dart (QB), Paulson Adebo (CB), Chauncey Golston (DE), Brian Burns (OLB), Jason Pinnock (FS), Roy Robertson-Harris (DT)
Commanders: Charles Omenihu (DE), Laremy Tunsil (T), Nick Cross (SS), Stefon Diggs (WR)

Broncos at ChargersSun 3:05 PM CT

Injury scores, Broncos at Chargers
	Broncos	Chargers
Offense	1	7.02
Defense	1.3	3.27

Likely to sit

Broncos: Riley Moss (CB), Pat Bryant (WR)
Chargers: Joe Alt (T), Donte Jackson (CB), Trey Pipkins (T), Derwin James (SS), Quentin Johnston (WR), Denzel Perryman (ILB), Kayode Awosika (G), Trevor Penning (G), Branson Taylor (G), Rashawn Slater (T, 83%)

Lions at CardinalsSun 3:25 PM CT

Injury scores, Lions at Cardinals
	Lions	Cardinals
Offense	0.75	3.51
Defense	5.51	2.55

Likely to sit

Lions: Rock Ya-Sin (CB), Brian Branch (SS), Thomas Harper (FS), Kerby Joseph (FS), Avonte Maddox (FS), Ben Bartch (G)
Cardinals: Paris Johnson (T), Will Johnson (CB), Andrew Wingard (FS), Isaiah Adams (G), Trey Benson (RB), James Conner (RB)

49ers at SeahawksSun 3:25 PM CT

Injury scores, 49ers at Seahawks
	49ers	Seahawks
Offense	2.04	1.52
Defense	4.59	0.02

Likely to sit

49ers: Nick Bosa (DE), Sam Okuayinonu (DE), Ricky Pearsall (WR), Demarcus Robinson (WR), Marques Sigle (SS)
Seahawks: Anthony Bradford (G), Zach Charbonnet (RB)

Ravens at FalconsSun 7:20 PM CT

Injury scores, Ravens at Falcons
	Ravens	Falcons
Offense	5.87	0.19
Defense	1.46	3.92

Likely to sit

Ravens: Lamar Jackson (QB), Jovaughn Gwyn (C), Trey Hendrickson (OLB), Durham Smythe (TE)
Falcons: AJ Terrell (CB), James Pearce (OLB), Jalon Walker (OLB)

Bills at RamsMon 7:15 PM CT

Injury scores, Bills at Rams
	Bills	Rams
Offense	1.61	0.81
Defense	1.48	3.06

Likely to sit

Bills: Tyrell Shavers (WR), Dee Alford (CB, 90%), D.J. Moore (WR, 61%)
Rams: Myles Garrett (OLB), Terrance Ferguson (TE), Josaiah Stewart (OLB, 86%), Quentin Lake (FS, 71%)

First-TD picks

First-TD picks go up later in the week, once the odds settle.

Thursday night Thu, Oct 8

Thu 7:15 PM CT · Thursday Night Football

Buccaneers at Cowboys

Cowboys by 8.5-9 · over/under 48.5-49

Expected points: Buccaneers 20, Cowboys 28.8 · Retractable roof

FinalBuccaneers 24, Cowboys 16

Projected before kickoff

Buccaneers 20, Cowboys 28

Cowboys win 74% of the time

Weather

Retractable roof The roof closes for bad weather, so weather isn't a factor.

Our bets in this game, graded

Won Buccaneers +9.5 1u at −119 +0.84uBuccaneers won by 8
Won Under 48.5 points 0.75u at −110 +0.68uFinal total 40, 8.5 points under

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Buccaneers at Cowboys
	Buccaneers	Cowboys
Offense	0	0
Defense	0	1

Buccaneers

No starters on the injury report.

Game-day statuses aren’t out yet.

Cowboys

Defense

Jalen Thompson S IR reserve list

Game-day statuses aren’t out yet.

Most likely to score a TD

CeeDee Lamb DAL WR57%
Javonte Williams DAL RB55%
George Pickens DAL WR31%
Jake Ferguson DAL TE30%
Ryan Flournoy DAL WR29%

Our prop leans

Javonte Williams under 2.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at +104 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT +110 (ESPN BET)
CeeDee Lamb under 6.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -116 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -110 (Hard Rock)
George Pickens under 4.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at +104 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT +110 (ESPN BET)
Emeka Egbuka under 3.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -143 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -135 (ESPN BET)
Bucky Irving under 2.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -163 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -158 (FanDuel)

Players

Quarterbacks 3

Quarterback	Over/under lines	Rank this week	Pass yds a game	TD passes a game	INTs a game	Rushing TDs	Last rushing TD	Games
Dak Prescott DAL	270.5 pass yds · 9.5 rush yds	QB4	264.6	1.88	0.47	1	2025 Wk 12 · 10 games ago	17
Jalon Daniels TB	184.5 pass yds · 44.5 rush yds	QB26	74.0	0.5	1.5	0	None yet	2
Baker Mayfield TB Out	no line yet	—	212.8	1.25	0.75	2	Wk 1 · 2 games ago	16

Running backs 4

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Javonte Williams DAL	55%	-190	Wk 4 (3 TDs) · last game	RB9	RB9	—	6 / 16	—	66.5 rush yds · 16.5 carries · 2.5 catches lean under
Bucky Irving TB	29%	+200	Wk 1 · 3 games ago	RB20	RB19	—	1 / 5	—	52.5 rush yds · 13.5 carries · 2.5 catches lean under
Kenny Gainwell TB	24%	+475	Wk 4 · last game	RB44	RB49	—	1 / 6	—	12.5 rush yds · 1.5 catches
Tyler Goodson DAL	16%	+650	None yet	RB64	RB71	—	0 / 0	—	14.5 rush yds

Receivers 9

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
CeeDee Lamb DAL	57%	-111	Wk 4 · last game	WR4	WR6	—	4 / 7	—	6.5 catches lean under · 84.5 rec yds
George Pickens DAL	31%	+125	2025 Wk 16 · 6 games ago	WR14	WR10	—	0 / 5	—	4.5 catches lean under · 63.5 rec yds
Emeka Egbuka TB	25%	+290	Wk 2 · 2 games ago	WR31	WR28	—	1 / 3	—	3.5 catches lean under · 36.5 rec yds
Chris Godwin Jr. TB	17%	—	2025 Wk 17 · 5 games ago	WR48	WR42	—	0 / 2	—	3.5 catches · 31.5 rec yds
Ryan Flournoy DAL	29%	+310	2025 Wk 16 · 5 games ago	WR53	WR70	—	0 / 4	—	3.5 catches · 31.5 rec yds
Ted Hurst III TB	18%	+550	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	WR65	WR69	—	1 / 1	—	1.5 catches · 16.5 rec yds
Tez Johnson TB	10%	+750	2025 Wk 12 · 9 games ago	WR98	WR114	—	0 / 5	—	1.5 catches · 12.5 rec yds
Jonathan Mingo DAL Questionable	—	—	None yet	WR130	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Jalen McMillan TB Out	—	—	None yet	—	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet

Tight ends 5

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Jake Ferguson DAL	30%	+225	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	TE19	TE18	—	3 / 10	Good	3.5 catches · 27.5 rec yds
Cade Otton TB	14%	+500	2025 Wk 18 · 4 games ago	TE25	TE26	—	0 / 1	—	3.5 catches · 29.5 rec yds
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL	—	—	2025 Wk 12 · 7 games ago	TE53	—	—	0 / 1	Good	0.5 catches · 4.5 rec yds
Luke Schoonmaker DAL	—	—	None yet	TE62	—	—	0 / 0	Good	no line yet
Payne Durham TB	—	—	None yet	TE89	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet

Defenses 2

Defense	Facing	Rank this week	Sacks a game	INTs a game	Fumbles recovered a game	Defensive TDs	Points allowed a game	Opponent expected points
Buccaneers	Cowboys	—	1.9	0.9	0.6	2	24.1	28.0
Cowboys	Buccaneers	—	2.0	0.3	0.4	1	28.9	19.5

Kickers 2

Kicker	Rank this week	Field goals a game	Made	FG%	Long	From 50+	Points a game	Team expected points
Brandon Aubrey DAL	K1	2.06	35 of 44	80%	63	9	9.0	28.0
Chase McLaughlin TB	K20	1.88	32 of 35	91%	59	10	7.5	19.5

Sunday morning Sun, Oct 11

Sun 8:30 AM CT · London

Eagles at Jaguars

Jaguars by 7.5 · over/under 41.5

Expected points: Eagles 17, Jaguars 24.5 · Outdoors

Projected score

Eagles 16, Jaguars 23

Jaguars win 72% of the time

Weather at kickoff and through the game

No weather worries 76°F at kickoff · heavy drizzle · rain 26% at kickoff · wind WSW 9 mph, gusts to 22. Forecast updated Sat 12:30 PM CT.

Our bets in this game

Eagles +7.5 0.5u
Jalen Hurts under 6.5 carries 0.25u
Jakobi Meyers to score a TD 0.1u

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Eagles at Jaguars
	Eagles	Jaguars
Offense	3.5	0.75
Defense	1	0.99

Eagles

Offense

Drew Kendall C Out knee first game out
DeVonta Smith WR Out hamstring
Saquon Barkley RB Out hamstring first game out
Landon Dickerson G IR reserve list

Defense

Marcus Epps SS Out groin

Jaguars

Offense

Patrick Mekari G IR reserve list

Defense

Eric Murray SS Doubtful concussion 99% chance he sits first game out

Most likely to score a TD

Bhayshul Tuten JAX RB51%
Jalen Hurts PHI QB31%
Jakobi Meyers JAX WR27%
Trevor Lawrence JAX QB23%
Brenton Strange JAX TE23%

Our prop leans

Brenton Strange under 3.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -125 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -118 (BetMGM)
Dontayvion Wicks under 3.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at +105 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT +110 (ESPN BET)
Brian Thomas Jr under 2.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -192 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -180 (FanDuel)

Players

Quarterbacks 4

Quarterback	Over/under lines	Rank this week	Pass yds a game	TD passes a game	INTs a game	Rushing TDs	Last rushing TD	Games
Trevor Lawrence JAX	225.5 pass yds · 13.5 rush yds	QB8	234.8	2.0	0.65	7	2025 Wk 17 (2 TDs) · 6 games ago	17
Jalen Hurts PHI	185.5 pass yds · 26.5 rush yds	QB17	201.0	1.62	0.56	5	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	16
Andy Dalton PHI	no line yet	QB51	78.3	0.0	0.67	0	None yet	3
Nick Mullens JAX	no line yet	—	3.8	0.0	0.0	0	None yet	5

Running backs 7

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Bhayshul Tuten JAX	51%	-105	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	RB13	RB13	+0	2 / 7	—	66.5 rush yds · 14.5 carries · 1.5 catches
Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX	11%	+330	Wk 4 · last game	RB36	RB40	+5	2 / 8	—	26.5 rush yds · 6.5 carries
Will Shipley PHI	20%	+265	None yet	RB38	RB41	+2	0 / 0	Tough	35.5 rush yds · 2.5 catches
LeQuint Allen Jr. JAX	6%	+1500	None yet	RB71	RB80	+3	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Ameer Abdullah JAX	5%	+1450	2025 Wk 5 · 14 games ago	RB76	—	—	0 / 1	—	no line yet
Saquon Barkley PHI Questionable	2%	—	2025 Wk 16 · 6 games ago	RB78	—	—	0 / 6	Tough	no line yet
Tank Bigsby PHI Out	—	—	Wk 2 · 2 games ago	—	—	—	1 / 3	Tough	no line yet

Receivers 8

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Parker Washington JAX	19%	+150	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	WR15	WR11	−4	2 / 8	—	4.5 catches · 61.5 rec yds
Dontayvion Wicks PHI Questionable	15%	+350	Wk 1 · 3 games ago	WR34	WR60	+18	1 / 3	—	3.5 catches lean under
Jakobi Meyers JAX	27%	+275	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	WR37	WR40	−2	2 / 5	—	3.5 catches · 41.5 rec yds
Makai Lemon PHI	11%	+460	None yet	WR43	WR35	−11	0 / 0	—	3.5 catches
Brian Thomas Jr. JAX	22%	—	Wk 4 · last game	WR45	WR45	−4	1 / 4	—	2.5 catches lean under · 24.5 rec yds
Darius Cooper PHI	14%	+500	Wk 4 (2 TDs) · last game	WR62	WR74	+6	3 / 3	—	no line yet
Josh Cameron JAX	18%	+750	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	WR77	—	—	2 / 2	—	1.5 catches · 11.5 rec yds
DeVonta Smith PHI Questionable	0%	—	Wk 2 · 1 game ago	WR150	—	—	1 / 4	—	no line yet

Tight ends 5

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Brenton Strange JAX	23%	+310	Wk 1 · 3 games ago	TE17	TE14	−5	1 / 4	Tough	3.5 catches lean under · 33.5 rec yds
Dallas Goedert PHI Questionable	9%	+330	Wk 1 (2 TDs) · 1 game ago	TE33	TE13	—	2 / 15	Good	no line yet
Zach Ertz PHI	8%	+950	2025 Wk 7 · 8 games ago	TE35	TE45	+4	0 / 4	Good	no line yet
Johnny Mundt PHI	6%	+1600	None yet	TE50	—	—	0 / 0	Good	no line yet
Nate Boerkircher JAX	7%	+1000	None yet	TE62	TE49	—	0 / 0	Tough	no line yet

Defenses 2

Defense	Facing	Rank this week	Sacks a game	INTs a game	Fumbles recovered a game	Defensive TDs	Points allowed a game	Opponent expected points
Jaguars	Eagles	DST5	2.1	1.1	0.5	1	18.6	17.8
Eagles	Jaguars	DST22	2.4	0.8	0.4	1	19.5	24.8

Kickers 2

Kicker	Rank this week	Field goals a game	Made	FG%	Long	From 50+	Points a game	Team expected points
Cam Little JAX	K6	1.65	28 of 33	85%	68	9	7.9	24.8
Jake Elliott PHI	K28	1.24	21 of 28	75%	58	3	5.9	17.8

Sunday noon Sun, Oct 11

Sun Noon CT

Bears at Packers

Bears by 1.5 · over/under 45.5

Expected points: Bears 23.5, Packers 22 · Outdoors

Projected score

Bears 23, Packers 21

Bears win 54% of the time

Weather at kickoff and through the game

Windy: SSW 14 mph, gusts to 26 74°F at kickoff · clear · little or no rain expected · wind SSW 14 mph, gusts to 26. Forecast updated Sat 12:30 PM CT.

Our bets in this game

Packers to win 0.5u
Under 45.5 points 0.25u
Rome Odunze under 3.5 catches 0.25u
Kaleb Johnson under 36.5 rushing yards 0.25u
Luther Burden III to score a TD 0.1u

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Bears at Packers
	Bears	Packers
Offense	3.44	3.48
Defense	0.89	3

Bears

Offense

Braxton Jones T IR reserve list
Caleb Williams QB Questionable hamstring 55% chance he sits

Defense

Kyler Gordon CB IR calf 70% chance he sits

Packers

Offense

Zach Bako-Bewele T IR reserve list
Jacob Monk C Doubtful quadricep 99% chance he sits
Aaron Banks G Doubtful knee 99% chance he sits
Jager Burton C Questionable back 27% chance he sits

Defense

Johnathan Baldwin FS IR reserve list
Edgerrin Cooper ILB IR reserve list first game out
Micah Parsons OLB IR reserve list

Most likely to score a TD

D'Andre Swift CHI RB43%
MarShawn Lloyd GB RB41%
Luther Burden III CHI WR33%
Rome Odunze CHI WR32%
Kaleb Johnson GB RB31%

Our prop leans

Rome Odunze under 3.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -165 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -155 (BetMGM)
Kalif Raymond under 3.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -158 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -154 (FanDuel)

Players

Quarterbacks 4

Quarterback	Over/under lines	Rank this week	Pass yds a game	TD passes a game	INTs a game	Rushing TDs	Last rushing TD	Games
Jordan Love GB	233.5 pass yds · 6.5 rush yds	QB11	232.4	1.73	0.47	0	None yet	15
Tyson Bagent CHI	217.5 pass yds · 10.5 rush yds	QB19	114.0	0.0	0.33	0	None yet	3
Case Keenum CHI	no line yet	QB31	247.0	2.0	0.0	1	Wk 3 · last game	1
Caleb Williams CHI Out	no line yet	—	241.1	1.6	0.67	3	Wk 1 (2 TDs) · 1 game ago	15

Running backs 5

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
D'Andre Swift CHI Questionable	43%	-134	Wk 1 (3 TDs) · 3 games ago	RB11	RB11	+0	3 / 11	Good	1.5 catches
Kyle Monangai CHI Questionable	14%	+140	Wk 4 (2 TDs) · last game	RB23	—	—	3 / 7	Good	54.5 rush yds · 11.5 carries
MarShawn Lloyd GB	41%	+125	Wk 2 · 2 games ago	RB31	RB39	+5	1 / 1	Tough	27.5 rush yds · 2.5 catches
Kaleb Johnson GB	31%	+190	None yet	RB39	RB42	+1	0 / 0	Tough	36.5 rush yds bet under 36.5
Chris Brooks GB Questionable	14%	+410	None yet	RB63	RB57	+1	0 / 0	Tough	no line yet

Receivers 10

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Christian Watson GB	14%	+185	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	WR11	WR15	+6	4 / 11	Good	4.5 catches · 60.5 rec yds
Matthew Golden GB	29%	+220	Wk 4 · last game	WR18	WR17	−4	2 / 3	Good	4.5 catches · 56.5 rec yds
Luther Burden III CHI	33%	+230	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	WR21	WR24	+1	1 / 2	Good	4.5 catches · 48.5 rec yds
Rome Odunze CHI	32%	+240	2025 Wk 10 · 9 games ago	WR25	WR22	−5	0 / 5	Good	3.5 catches bet under 3.5 · 39.5 rec yds
Kalif Raymond CHI	14%	+425	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	WR46	WR63	+7	1 / 2	Good	3.5 catches lean under · 28.5 rec yds
Skyy Moore GB	11%	+550	None yet	WR86	—	—	0 / 0	Good	1.5 catches · 11.5 rec yds
Bo Melton GB	2%	+1800	2025 Wk 14 · 7 games ago	WR120	—	—	0 / 1	Good	no line yet
Jahdae Walker CHI	1%	+1700	Wk 1 · last game	WR124	—	—	1 / 3	Good	no line yet
J. Michael Sturdivant GB	3%	+2500	None yet	WR133	—	—	0 / 0	Good	no line yet
Jayden Reed GB Out	—	—	—	—	—	—	0 / 2	Good	no line yet

Tight ends 6

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Tucker Kraft GB	29%	+230	Wk 4 · last game	TE5	TE7	+2	1 / 7	Tough	4.5 catches · 49.5 rec yds
Colston Loveland CHI	27%	+250	2025 Wk 18 · 6 games ago	TE9	TE9	+0	0 / 6	—	3.5 catches · 37.5 rec yds
Cole Kmet CHI	12%	+600	Wk 1 · 3 games ago	TE41	TE47	—	1 / 3	—	no line yet
Jonnu Smith GB	8%	+1050	2025 Wk 15 · 7 games ago	TE45	TE39	—	0 / 2	Tough	no line yet
Sam Roush CHI	4%	+1800	None yet	TE57	TE51	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Mark Redman GB	—	—	None yet	TE71	—	—	0 / 0	Tough	no line yet

Defenses 2

Defense	Facing	Rank this week	Sacks a game	INTs a game	Fumbles recovered a game	Defensive TDs	Points allowed a game	Opponent expected points
Bears	Packers	DST12	2.2	0.9	0.5	1	21.9	21.2
Packers	Bears	DST21	2.1	0.6	0.4	0	23.2	24.2

Kickers 2

Kicker	Rank this week	Field goals a game	Made	FG%	Long	From 50+	Points a game	Team expected points
Cairo Santos CHI	K12	1.76	30 of 35	86%	54	4	7.9	24.2
Trey Smack GB	K19	1.5	6 of 7	86%	59	2	6.2	21.2

Sun Noon CT

Bengals at Dolphins

Bengals by 6.5 · over/under 42.5

Expected points: Bengals 24.5, Dolphins 18 · Outdoors

Projected score

Bengals 23, Dolphins 17

Bengals win 68% of the time

Weather at kickoff and through the game

Hot: 90°F 90°F at kickoff · clear · little or no rain expected · wind S 10 mph, gusts to 13. Forecast updated Sat 12:30 PM CT.

Our bets in this game

Chase Brown under 16.5 carries 0.25u
Malik Willis under 33.5 rushing yards 0.25u
Malik Washington to score a TD 0.1u

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Bengals at Dolphins
	Bengals	Dolphins
Offense	1.25	1.75
Defense	1.56	0

Bengals

Offense

Andrei Iosivas WR IR reserve list
Ja'Marr Chase WR Questionable concussion 16% chance he sits
Tee Higgins WR Questionable groin 9% chance he sits

Defense

Jalen Davis CB IR reserve list
Bryan Cook FS Questionable ankle 25% chance he sits

Dolphins

Offense

Caleb Douglas WR Out ankle
De'Von Achane RB IR reserve list

Most likely to score a TD

Chase Brown CIN RB54%
Ollie Gordon II MIA RB33%
Samaje Perine CIN RB26%
Mike Gesicki CIN TE26%
Malik Willis MIA QB21%

Our prop leans

No prop leans in this game yet.

Players

Quarterbacks 2

Quarterback	Over/under lines	Rank this week	Pass yds a game	TD passes a game	INTs a game	Rushing TDs	Last rushing TD	Games
Joe Burrow CIN	244.5 pass yds · 8.5 rush yds	QB5	279.1	2.2	0.8	1	Wk 4 · last game	10
Malik Willis MIA	191.5 pass yds · 33.5 rush yds bet under 33.5	QB29	141.8	0.5	0.25	3	Wk 1 · 3 games ago	8

Running backs 6

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Chase Brown CIN	54%	-139	Wk 1 · 3 games ago	RB8	RB7	+1	1 / 11	—	67.5 rush yds · 16.5 carries bet under 16.5
Ollie Gordon II MIA	33%	+165	Wk 4 · last game	RB24	RB27	+3	2 / 6	—	43.5 rush yds · 11.5 carries · 1.5 catches
Jaylen Wright MIA Questionable	17%	+280	2025 Wk 16 · 5 games ago	RB43	RB44	+1	0 / 2	—	24.5 rush yds
Samaje Perine CIN	26%	+425	2025 Wk 17 · 5 games ago	RB46	RB53	+3	0 / 3	—	14.5 rush yds
DJ Herman MIA	—	—	None yet	RB97	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
De'Von Achane MIA Out	—	—	2025 Wk 16 · 4 games ago	—	—	—	0 / 10	—	no line yet

Receivers 12

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Malik Washington MIA	21%	+330	2025 Wk 18 · 4 games ago	WR29	WR42	+5	0 / 4	Tough	4.5 catches · 44.5 rec yds
Dohnte Meyers CIN	20%	+295	None yet	WR40	WR62	+22	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Chris Bell MIA Questionable	11%	+600	None yet	WR52	WR52	−5	0 / 0	Tough	2.5 catches · 34.5 rec yds
Ja'Marr Chase CIN Questionable	16%	+106	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	WR61	WR2	—	3 / 10	—	no line yet
Tee Higgins CIN Questionable	5%	+107	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	WR68	WR16	—	1 / 11	—	no line yet
Mitchell Tinsley CIN	—	—	2025 Wk 12 · 4 games ago	WR73	—	—	0 / 2	—	no line yet
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA	11%	+1050	None yet	WR87	WR77	−4	0 / 0	Tough	no line yet
Ryan Miller MIA	1%	+2000	Wk 2 · 1 game ago	WR123	—	—	1 / 2	Tough	no line yet
Colbie Young CIN	—	—	None yet	WR127	WR79	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Caleb Douglas MIA Questionable	1%	+550	None yet	WR129	WR59	—	0 / 0	Tough	no line yet
Jalen Tolbert MIA	1%	+2500	2025 Wk 8 · 4 games ago	WR131	WR103	−3	0 / 1	Tough	no line yet
Andrei Iosivas CIN Out	—	—	2025 Wk 13 · 7 games ago	—	—	—	0 / 2	—	no line yet

Tight ends 6

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Mike Gesicki CIN	26%	+310	Wk 4 · last game	TE12	TE19	+6	3 / 5	—	no line yet
Greg Dulcich MIA	11%	+550	2025 Wk 17 · 4 games ago	TE27	TE23	−4	0 / 1	—	2.5 catches · 25.5 rec yds
Tanner Hudson CIN	8%	+1300	2025 Wk 13 · 7 games ago	TE44	—	—	0 / 2	—	no line yet
Drew Sample CIN	10%	+900	2025 Wk 3 · 10 games ago	TE48	—	—	0 / 1	—	no line yet
Will Kacmarek MIA	4%	+2000	None yet	TE55	TE56	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Erick All CIN	8%	—	None yet	TE56	TE41	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet

Defenses 2

Defense	Facing	Rank this week	Sacks a game	INTs a game	Fumbles recovered a game	Defensive TDs	Points allowed a game	Opponent expected points
Bengals	Dolphins	DST3	2.5	0.5	0.6	1	26.9	17.8
Dolphins	Bengals	DST28	2.1	0.7	0.5	0	23.9	24.8

Kickers 2

Kicker	Rank this week	Field goals a game	Made	FG%	Long	From 50+	Points a game	Team expected points
Evan McPherson CIN	K2	1.76	30 of 33	91%	63	10	7.9	24.8
Riley Patterson MIA	K30	1.71	29 of 33	88%	54	3	6.8	17.8

Sun Noon CT

Browns at Jets

Jets by 2-2.5 · over/under 39.5

Expected points: Browns 18.6, Jets 20.9 · Outdoors

Projected score

Browns 17, Jets 19

Jets win 57% of the time

Weather at kickoff and through the game

Windy: E 10 mph, gusts to 24Rain likely: up to 84% 66°F at kickoff · light rain · rain 78% at kickoff, up to 84% later · wind E 10 mph, gusts to 24. Forecast updated Sat 12:30 PM CT.

Our bets in this game

Jets -2.5 0.5u
Under 39.5 points 0.25u
KC Concepcion under 4.5 catches 0.25u
Quinshon Judkins under 15.5 carries 0.25u
Isaiah Williams to score a TD 0.1u

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Browns at Jets
	Browns	Jets
Offense	0.75	2.5
Defense	2.25	1.16

Browns

Offense

Teven Jenkins G Out back

Defense

Mason Graham DT Out knee first game out
Alex Wright DE IR reserve list

Jets

Offense

Adonai Mitchell WR Out finger
Breece Hall RB Out quadricep
Dylan Parham G Out knee

Defense

David Onyemata DT IR reserve list
Kingsley Enagbare OLB Questionable knee 16% chance he sits

Most likely to score a TD

Braelon Allen NYJ RB39%
Garrett Wilson NYJ WR35%
Denzel Boston CLE WR24%
Quinshon Judkins CLE RB24%
Harold Fannin Jr. CLE TE22%

Our prop leans

KC Concepcion under 4.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -122 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -115 (BetMGM)
Harold Fannin Jr. under 4.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -153 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -146 (DraftKings)

Players

Quarterbacks 3

Quarterback	Over/under lines	Rank this week	Pass yds a game	TD passes a game	INTs a game	Rushing TDs	Last rushing TD	Games
Deshaun Watson CLE	204.5 pass yds · 25.5 rush yds	QB20	213.8	1.5	0.5	0	None yet	4
Geno Smith NYJ	206.5 pass yds · 10.5 rush yds	QB25	198.6	1.2	0.67	0	None yet	15
Shedeur Sanders CLE	no line yet	QB32	155.6	0.78	1.11	1	2025 Wk 14 · 5 games ago	9

Running backs 4

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Braelon Allen NYJ	39%	+102	Wk 2 · 2 games ago	RB15	RB26	+8	1 / 2	—	71.5 rush yds · 17.5 carries
Quinshon Judkins CLE	24%	+155	Wk 4 · last game	RB17	RB14	−2	1 / 8	—	59.5 rush yds · 15.5 carries bet under 15.5 · 2.5 catches
Raheim Sanders CLE	11%	+800	2025 Wk 1 · 7 games ago	RB49	RB61	+10	0 / 1	—	1.5 catches
Breece Hall NYJ Questionable	2%	—	Wk 1 · 2 games ago	RB86	—	—	1 / 6	—	no line yet

Receivers 9

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Garrett Wilson NYJ	35%	+150	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	WR13	WR13	−5	2 / 6	—	6.5 catches · 69.5 rec yds
Denzel Boston CLE	24%	+225	Wk 2 · 2 games ago	WR28	WR27	−5	2 / 2	—	3.5 catches · 47.5 rec yds
KC Concepcion CLE	21%	—	None yet	WR31	WR36	+2	0 / 0	—	4.5 catches bet under 4.5 · 39.5 rec yds
Isaiah Williams NYJ	16%	+500	Wk 4 · last game	WR60	—	—	1 / 1	—	no line yet
Jerry Jeudy CLE	9%	+700	2025 Wk 14 · 7 games ago	WR80	WR80	−3	0 / 2	—	1.5 catches · 14.5 rec yds
Isaiah Bond CLE	4%	+4000	None yet	WR116	WR107	+1	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Sterling Shepard NYJ	4%	—	2025 Wk 5 · 10 games ago	WR118	—	—	0 / 1	—	no line yet
Adonai Mitchell NYJ Questionable	0%	+290	2025 Wk 15 · 5 games ago	WR123	—	—	0 / 2	—	no line yet
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ Out	—	—	None yet	—	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet

Tight ends 6

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Harold Fannin Jr. CLE	22%	+270	Wk 4 · last game	TE10	TE8	−2	3 / 10	—	4.5 catches lean under · 35.5 rec yds
Kenyon Sadiq NYJ	20%	+260	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	TE15	TE12	−3	2 / 2	Tough	no line yet
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ	7%	+1200	Wk 3 · last game	TE49	—	—	1 / 2	Tough	no line yet
Mason Taylor NYJ Questionable	9%	+525	2025 Wk 8 · 6 games ago	TE53	TE37	—	0 / 1	Tough	no line yet
Blake Whiteheart CLE	6%	+1300	Wk 2 · last game	TE61	—	—	1 / 1	—	no line yet
Jelani Woods NYJ	2%	+1850	None yet	TE65	—	—	0 / 0	Tough	no line yet

Defenses 2

Defense	Facing	Rank this week	Sacks a game	INTs a game	Fumbles recovered a game	Defensive TDs	Points allowed a game	Opponent expected points
Browns	Jets	DST8	3.2	0.8	0.4	3	21.9	21.0
Jets	Browns	DST11	1.7	0.1	0.4	0	27.5	18.5

Kickers 2

Kicker	Rank this week	Field goals a game	Made	FG%	Long	From 50+	Points a game	Team expected points
Jason Sanders NYJ	K22	1.75	7 of 8	88%	52	2	6.5	21.0
Andre Szmyt CLE	K27	1.59	27 of 28	96%	56	6	6.4	18.5

Sun Noon CT

Texans at Titans

Texans by 7.5 · over/under 38

Expected points: Texans 22.8, Titans 15.2 · Outdoors

Projected score

Texans 22, Titans 14

Texans win 72% of the time

Weather at kickoff and through the game

No weather worries 66°F at kickoff · overcast · little or no rain expected · wind NW 8 mph, gusts to 17. Forecast updated Sat 12:30 PM CT.

Our bets in this game

Titans +7.5 0.5u
Xavier Hutchinson over 1.5 catches 0.25u
Carnell Tate under 4.5 catches 0.25u
Kayshon Boutte to score a TD 0.1u

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Texans at Titans
	Texans	Titans
Offense	1.78	0.93
Defense	2.46	2

Texans

Offense

Jayden Higgins WR IR reserve list
Aireontae Ersery T Questionable illness 42% chance he sits
Ed Ingram G Questionable illness 27% chance he sits

Defense

E.J. Speed OLB IR reserve list
Henry To'oTo'o OLB IR reserve list
M.J. Stewart FS IR knee 46% chance he sits

Titans

Offense

Fernando Carmona G IR reserve list
Carnell Tate WR Questionable back 18% chance he sits

Defense

Amani Hooker FS Out concussion first game out
Jaylen Harrell OLB IR reserve list

Most likely to score a TD

David Montgomery HOU RB46%
Nico Collins HOU WR42%
Woody Marks HOU RB22%
Tony Pollard TEN RB19%
Tyjae Spears TEN RB17%

Our prop leans

Carnell Tate under 4.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -143 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -135 (Hard Rock)
Kayshon Boutte under 2.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -148 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -140 (ESPN BET)
Dalton Schultz under 4.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -156 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -151 (DraftKings)

Players

Quarterbacks 2

Quarterback	Over/under lines	Rank this week	Pass yds a game	TD passes a game	INTs a game	Rushing TDs	Last rushing TD	Games
C.J. Stroud HOU	235.5 pass yds · 9.5 rush yds	QB14	238.5	1.21	0.64	1	2025 Wk 18 · 6 games ago	14
Cam Ward TEN	192.5 pass yds · 10.5 rush yds	QB30	193.0	0.94	0.41	4	Wk 2 (2 TDs) · 2 games ago	17

Running backs 5

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
David Montgomery HOU	46%	+120	Wk 1 (3 TDs) · 3 games ago	RB22	RB18	−4	3 / 8	—	44.5 rush yds · 14.5 carries · 1.5 catches
Tony Pollard TEN Questionable	19%	+250	Wk 4 · last game	RB26	RB30	+4	1 / 5	Tough	49.5 rush yds · 14.5 carries · 1.5 catches
Woody Marks HOU	22%	+230	Wk 4 · last game	RB35	RB33	+0	2 / 6	—	28.5 rush yds · 8.5 carries · 1.5 catches
Tyjae Spears TEN	17%	+650	2025 Wk 16 · 6 games ago	RB48	RB48	+1	0 / 2	Tough	14.5 rush yds · 1.5 catches
Nicholas Singleton TEN	5%	+1900	None yet	RB68	RB54	−12	0 / 0	Tough	no line yet

Receivers 10

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Nico Collins HOU	42%	+150	Wk 4 (2 TDs) · last game	WR5	WR7	+1	3 / 10	—	5.5 catches · 79.5 rec yds
Carnell Tate TEN Questionable	13%	+425	None yet	WR22	WR33	+6	0 / 0	—	4.5 catches bet under 4.5 · 44.5 rec yds
Wan'Dale Robinson TEN	14%	+490	Wk 4 · last game	WR48	WR46	−5	2 / 5	—	3.5 catches · 33.5 rec yds
Kayshon Boutte HOU	16%	+500	—	WR55	WR58	+0	0 / 6	—	2.5 catches lean under · 25.5 rec yds
Xavier Hutchinson HOU	14%	+700	2025 Wk 8 · 15 games ago	WR63	WR76	+9	0 / 1	—	1.5 catches bet over 1.5 · 12.5 rec yds
Jaylin Noel HOU	13%	+525	2025 Wk 17 · 7 games ago	WR64	WR54	−19	0 / 2	—	1.5 catches · 18.5 rec yds
Elic Ayomanor TEN	13%	+700	Wk 1 · 3 games ago	WR82	WR96	+6	1 / 3	—	1.5 catches · 17.5 rec yds
Calvin Ridley TEN	7%	+1600	None yet	WR89	WR86	−5	0 / 0	—	0.5 catches · 5.5 rec yds
Jared Wayne HOU	2%	+1400	None yet	WR115	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Lewis Bond HOU	—	—	None yet	WR163	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet

Tight ends 7

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Dalton Schultz HOU	16%	+275	2025 Wk 16 · 8 games ago	TE20	TE22	+2	0 / 3	—	4.5 catches lean under · 37.5 rec yds
Gunnar Helm TEN Questionable	7%	+600	2025 Wk 15 · 6 games ago	TE31	TE30	−3	0 / 2	—	2.5 catches · 17.5 rec yds
Foster Moreau HOU	8%	+850	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	TE38	—	—	1 / 1	—	no line yet
Daniel Bellinger TEN	4%	+1750	2025 Wk 18 · 4 games ago	TE46	TE52	—	0 / 2	—	no line yet
Cade Stover HOU	—	—	None yet	TE69	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Brevin Jordan HOU	—	—	None yet	TE79	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Marlin Klein HOU	—	—	None yet	TE96	TE43	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet

Defenses 2

Defense	Facing	Rank this week	Sacks a game	INTs a game	Fumbles recovered a game	Defensive TDs	Points allowed a game	Opponent expected points
Texans	Titans	DST1	3.3	0.9	0.7	2	20.6	15.5
Titans	Texans	DST26	2.7	0.3	0.3	1	25.9	23.0

Kickers 2

Kicker	Rank this week	Field goals a game	Made	FG%	Long	From 50+	Points a game	Team expected points
Ka'imi Fairbairn HOU	K5	2.8	42 of 45	93%	58	9	10.5	23.0
Joey Slye TEN	K29	1.38	22 of 26	85%	58	5	5.9	15.5

Sun Noon CT

Colts at Steelers

Steelers by 2.5 · over/under 44.5

Expected points: Colts 21, Steelers 23.5 · Outdoors

Projected score

Colts 19, Steelers 21

Steelers win 58% of the time

Weather at kickoff and through the game

Windy: ESE 16 mph, gusts to 36Rain likely: up to 53% 64°F at kickoff · overcast · rain 53% at kickoff · wind ESE 16 mph, gusts to 36. Forecast updated Sat 12:30 PM CT.

Our bets in this game

Colts to win 0.25u
Under 44.5 points 0.5u
Jonathan Taylor under 2.5 catches 0.25u
Pat Freiermuth under 3.5 catches 0.25u
Germie Bernard to score a TD 0.1u

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Colts at Steelers
	Colts	Steelers
Offense	0.16	1
Defense	3.73	2.49

Colts

Offense

Keenan Allen WR Questionable rest 15% chance he sits

Defense

Arden Key DE Out hamstring first game out
Jaylon Carlies ILB Out ribs first game out
Cameron Mitchell CB IR reserve list
Charvarius Ward CB Questionable rest 15% chance he sits

Steelers

Offense

Michael Pittman Jr. WR Out foot first game out

Defense

Jamel Dean CB Out ankle first game out
DeShon Elliott SS IR knee
Jalen Ramsey CB Questionable wrist 18% chance he sits

Most likely to score a TD

Jonathan Taylor IND RB60%
Jaylen Warren PIT RB44%
DK Metcalf PIT WR39%
Josh Downs IND WR25%
Tyler Warren IND TE23%

Our prop leans

Darnell Washington under 2.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -132 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -125 (BetMGM)
Germie Bernard under 2.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -170 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -160 (BetMGM)
Jonathan Taylor under 2.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -106 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT +100 (ESPN BET)
Pat Freiermuth under 3.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -148 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -140 (ESPN BET)
DK Metcalf under 4.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -144 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -140 (ESPN BET)

Players

Quarterbacks 3

Quarterback	Over/under lines	Rank this week	Pass yds a game	TD passes a game	INTs a game	Rushing TDs	Last rushing TD	Games
Aaron Rodgers PIT	218.5 pass yds · 0.5 rush yds	QB18	215.4	1.31	0.56	1	2025 Wk 14 · 9 games ago	16
Daniel Jones IND	209.5 pass yds · 10.5 rush yds	QB28	213.6	1.38	0.77	3	Wk 4 · last game	13
Mason Rudolph PIT	no line yet	QB42	60.0	0.4	0.4	0	None yet	5

Running backs 4

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Jonathan Taylor IND	60%	-175	Wk 4 (2 TDs) · last game	RB3	RB3	+0	6 / 22	—	85.5 rush yds · 19.5 carries · 2.5 catches bet under 2.5
Jaylen Warren PIT	44%	-129	2025 Wk 16 (2 TDs) · 7 games ago	RB10	RB15	+8	0 / 7	—	64.5 rush yds
Seth McGowan IND	9%	+1000	None yet	RB60	RB51	−10	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Rico Dowdle PIT Questionable	10%	+180	2025 Wk 15 · 6 games ago	RB64	RB45	−13	0 / 6	—	no line yet

Receivers 11

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
DK Metcalf PIT	39%	+175	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	WR17	WR32	+13	1 / 6	—	4.5 catches lean under · 52.5 rec yds
Josh Downs IND	25%	+230	2025 Wk 15 · 7 games ago	WR27	WR28	−2	0 / 4	—	4.5 catches · 57.5 rec yds
Roman Wilson PIT	21%	+270	Wk 4 · last game	WR44	WR55	+6	2 / 4	—	3.5 catches · 41.5 rec yds
Germie Bernard PIT	19%	+450	None yet	WR69	WR73	−2	0 / 0	—	2.5 catches lean under · 18.5 rec yds
Keenan Allen IND	4%	+440	Wk 3 · last game	WR70	WR64	−2	1 / 2	—	3.5 catches · 27.5 rec yds
Laquon Treadwell IND	7%	+600	None yet	WR78	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Michael Pittman PIT Questionable	0%	—	2025 Wk 12 · 9 games ago	WR106	WR65	−7	0 / 5	—	2.5 catches · 26.5 rec yds
Ashton Dulin IND Questionable	4%	+775	None yet	WR109	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Ben Skowronek PIT	5%	+1450	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	WR109	—	—	1 / 2	—	no line yet
Deion Burks IND	3%	+1750	None yet	WR117	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Alec Pierce IND Out	—	—	2025 Wk 18 (2 TDs) · 2 games ago	—	—	—	0 / 6	—	no line yet

Tight ends 5

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Tyler Warren IND	23%	+235	Wk 2 · 2 games ago	TE8	TE4	−3	2 / 6	—	5.5 catches · 46.5 rec yds
Pat Freiermuth PIT	22%	+360	Wk 4 · last game	TE21	TE25	+2	2 / 6	—	3.5 catches bet under 3.5 · 27.5 rec yds
Darnell Washington PIT	16%	+333	Wk 4 · last game	TE28	TE32	+4	1 / 2	—	2.5 catches lean under · 22.5 rec yds
Mo Alie-Cox IND	2%	+1750	2025 Wk 17 · 2 games ago	TE72	—	—	0 / 1	—	no line yet
Robert Tonyan PIT	—	—	None yet	TE82	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet

Defenses 2

Defense	Facing	Rank this week	Sacks a game	INTs a game	Fumbles recovered a game	Defensive TDs	Points allowed a game	Opponent expected points
Steelers	Colts	DST7	2.4	0.9	0.8	2	23.4	21.0
Colts	Steelers	DST19	2.2	0.6	0.4	0	25.5	23.5

Kickers 2

Kicker	Rank this week	Field goals a game	Made	FG%	Long	From 50+	Points a game	Team expected points
Spencer Shrader IND	K8	2.2	11 of 11	100%	58	4	8.8	21.0
Chris Boswell PIT	K11	1.59	27 of 33	82%	59	7	6.9	23.5

Sun Noon CT

Raiders at Patriots

Patriots by 3.5 · over/under 45

Expected points: Raiders 20.8, Patriots 24.2 · Outdoors

Projected score

Raiders 20, Patriots 24

Patriots win 60% of the time

Weather at kickoff and through the game

No weather worries 64°F at kickoff · overcast · little or no rain expected · wind S 10 mph, gusts to 17. Forecast updated Sat 12:30 PM CT.

Our bets in this game

Tre Tucker over 3.5 catches 0.25u
Drake Maye under 31.5 rushing yards 0.25u
Romeo Doubs to score a TD 0.1u

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Raiders at Patriots
	Raiders	Patriots
Offense	1.3	1.47
Defense	0	4.53

Raiders

Offense

Jalen Nailor WR Out concussion first game out
Ashton Jeanty RB Questionable ankle 40% chance he sits

Patriots

Offense

Mack Hollins WR Out calf first game out
Morgan Moses T Questionable foot 27% chance he sits
Rhamondre Stevenson RB Questionable knee 17% chance he sits

Defense

Carlton Davis CB Out neck first game out
Christian Gonzalez CB Out shoulder
Harold Landry OLB IR reserve list
Charles Woods CB Questionable shoulder 24% chance he sits
Dre'Mont Jones OLB Questionable shoulder 20% chance he sits
Craig Woodson SS Questionable shoulder 20% chance he sits
Christian Elliss ILB Questionable chest 19% chance he sits
Christian Barmore DT Questionable shoulder 14% chance he sits

Most likely to score a TD

TreVeyon Henderson NE RB42%
Brock Bowers LV TE39%
Romeo Doubs NE WR37%
Ashton Jeanty LV RB35%
Rhamondre Stevenson NE RB30%

Our prop leans

No prop leans in this game yet.

Players

Quarterbacks 3

Quarterback	Over/under lines	Rank this week	Pass yds a game	TD passes a game	INTs a game	Rushing TDs	Last rushing TD	Games
Drake Maye NE	229.5 pass yds · 31.5 rush yds bet under 31.5	QB7	238.2	1.53	0.94	3	—	17
Kirk Cousins LV	232.5 pass yds · 0.5 rush yds	QB23	209.1	1.62	0.69	1	2025 Wk 16 · 6 games ago	13
Tommy DeVito NE	no line yet	QB59	30.0	0.0	0.0	0	None yet	1

Running backs 7

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Ashton Jeanty LV Questionable	35%	-115	Wk 1 (2 TDs) · 3 games ago	RB12	RB6	−6	2 / 8	Tough	59.5 rush yds · 16.5 carries · 3.5 catches
Rhamondre Stevenson NE Questionable	30%	-115	Wk 4 · last game	RB21	RB23	−7	1 / 9	—	no line yet
TreVeyon Henderson NE	42%	-112	Wk 2 · 2 games ago	RB28	RB22	−6	1 / 10	—	no line yet
Mike Washington Jr. LV	24%	+550	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	RB42	RB43	+3	1 / 1	Tough	24.5 rush yds
Corey Kiner NE	5%	+340	None yet	RB74	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Reggie Gilliam NE Questionable	2%	+1200	None yet	RB87	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Lan Larison NE	—	—	None yet	—	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet

Receivers 11

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Romeo Doubs NE	37%	+175	Wk 4 (2 TDs) · last game	WR23	WR34	+5	2 / 5	—	3.5 catches · 51.5 rec yds
Tre Tucker LV	20%	+310	Wk 2 · 2 games ago	WR38	WR51	+5	1 / 2	—	3.5 catches bet over 3.5 · 39.5 rec yds
DeMario Douglas NE	20%	+525	—	WR57	WR67	+6	0 / 2	—	2.5 catches · 24.5 rec yds
Cody White LV Questionable	15%	+480	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	WR79	—	—	3 / 4	—	1.5 catches · 16.5 rec yds
Efton Chism III NE	9%	+550	Wk 4 · last game	WR83	WR66	−5	1 / 2	—	no line yet
Kyle Williams NE	13%	+750	2025 Wk 16 · 8 games ago	WR88	WR87	+2	0 / 3	—	no line yet
Mack Hollins NE Questionable	1%	+265	—	WR89	—	—	0 / 2	—	no line yet
Jalen Nailor LV Questionable	1%	+650	2025 Wk 15 (2 TDs) · 6 games ago	WR100	—	—	0 / 4	—	no line yet
Malik Benson LV	9%	+750	None yet	WR104	WR99	−2	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Jack Bech LV Out	—	—	Wk 1 · 1 game ago	—	—	—	1 / 1	—	no line yet
A.J. Brown NE Out	—	—	2025 Wk 15 · 4 games ago	—	—	—	0 / 7	—	no line yet

Tight ends 5

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Brock Bowers LV	39%	+140	Wk 4 · last game	TE1	TE1	+0	2 / 9	—	6.5 catches · 70.5 rec yds
Hunter Henry NE	25%	+260	—	TE14	TE15	−2	0 / 4	—	3.5 catches · 37.5 rec yds
Michael Mayer LV	17%	+370	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	TE26	TE24	−6	1 / 2	—	3.5 catches · 29.5 rec yds
Eli Raridon NE	12%	+600	Wk 1 · 2 games ago	TE39	TE35	—	1 / 1	—	no line yet
Ian Thomas LV	4%	+2500	Wk 4 · last game	TE75	—	—	1 / 1	—	no line yet

Defenses 2

Defense	Facing	Rank this week	Sacks a game	INTs a game	Fumbles recovered a game	Defensive TDs	Points allowed a game	Opponent expected points
Patriots	Raiders	DST10	2.2	0.6	0.6	2	18.0	21.0
Raiders	Patriots	DST14	2.4	0.6	0.6	0	24.5	24.5

Kickers 2

Kicker	Rank this week	Field goals a game	Made	FG%	Long	From 50+	Points a game	Team expected points
Matt Gay LV	K16	1.67	20 of 23	87%	59	2	7.1	21.0
Andy Borregales NE	K17	1.41	24 of 32	75%	59	3	6.9	24.5

Sun Noon CT

Vikings at Saints

Vikings by 2.5 · over/under 41.5

Expected points: Vikings 22, Saints 19.5 · Dome

Projected score

Vikings 21, Saints 19

Vikings win 58% of the time

Weather

Indoors Weather isn't a factor.

Our bets in this game

Saints +2.5 0.25u
Juwan Johnson under 4.5 catches 0.25u

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Vikings at Saints
	Vikings	Saints
Offense	3.64	3.77
Defense	0	2.23

Vikings

Offense

Christian Darrisaw T Out concussion first game out
Donovan Jackson G IR reserve list first game out
Josh Oliver TE IR reserve list
Brian O'Neill T Questionable knee 27% chance he sits
Justin Jefferson WR Questionable ankle 30% chance he sits
Jordan Addison WR Questionable hamstring 24% chance he sits

Saints

Offense

Kelvin Banks T IR reserve list
Mason Tipton WR IR reserve list
Travis Etienne RB IR hamstring
Dillon Radunz G IR reserve list

Defense

Kaden Elliss ILB Out calf
Bryan Bresee DT IR reserve list
Julian Blackmon FS Questionable shoulder 23% chance he sits

Most likely to score a TD

Aaron Jones Sr. MIN RB54%
Chris Olave NO WR34%
T.J. Hockenson MIN TE28%
Jauan Jennings MIN WR26%
Kendre Miller NO RB26%

Our prop leans

Chris Olave under 6.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -127 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -120 (BetMGM)
Juwan Johnson under 4.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -135 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -127 (DraftKings)

Players

Quarterbacks 3

Quarterback	Over/under lines	Rank this week	Pass yds a game	TD passes a game	INTs a game	Rushing TDs	Last rushing TD	Games
Tyler Shough NO	237.5 pass yds · 9.5 rush yds	QB13	256.2	1.36	0.64	4	Wk 2 · 2 games ago	14
Kyler Murray MIN	212.5 pass yds · 17.5 rush yds	QB15	163.2	0.25	0.5	1	2025 Wk 5 · 3 games ago	4
Carson Wentz MIN	no line yet	QB33	193.8	1.0	0.6	0	None yet	5

Running backs 7

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Aaron Jones MIN	54%	—	Wk 1 · 3 games ago	RB14	RB24	+10	1 / 4	—	72.5 rush yds · 17.5 carries · 2.5 catches
Alvin Kamara NO Questionable	18%	+165	Wk 4 (2 TDs) · last game	RB30	RB28	+2	2 / 3	Tough	33.5 rush yds
Kendre Miller NO	26%	+380	Wk 1 · 2 games ago	RB40	RB46	+2	1 / 2	Tough	18.5 rush yds
Demond Claiborne MIN	17%	+1200	None yet	RB57	RB55	−8	0 / 0	—	no line yet
CJ Donaldson NO	10%	+850	None yet	RB65	RB69	+3	0 / 0	Tough	no line yet
Travis Etienne NO Out	—	—	—	—	—	—	0 / 11	Tough	no line yet
Jordan Mason MIN Out	—	—	Wk 1 · last game	—	—	—	1 / 7	—	no line yet

Receivers 8

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Chris Olave NO	34%	+195	Wk 2 · 2 games ago	WR7	WR9	+1	1 / 10	—	6.5 catches lean under · 81.5 rec yds
Jordan Addison MIN Questionable	23%	+230	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	WR26	WR38	+6	1 / 5	—	no line yet
Devaughn Vele NO	15%	+350	Wk 4 · last game	WR32	WR50	+8	2 / 4	—	3.5 catches · 37.5 rec yds
Justin Jefferson MIN Questionable	7%	+165	Wk 1 (2 TDs) · 2 games ago	WR36	WR12	−2	2 / 3	—	no line yet
Jauan Jennings MIN	26%	+600	2025 Wk 17 · 6 games ago	WR65	WR88	+9	0 / 8	—	no line yet
Bryce Lance NO	10%	+950	None yet	WR85	WR81	−5	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Tai Felton MIN	4%	+1600	None yet	WR111	WR112	+8	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Kevin Austin Jr. NO	—	—	2025 Wk 17 · 2 games ago	WR134	—	—	0 / 1	—	no line yet

Tight ends 5

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Juwan Johnson NO	20%	+310	Wk 3 (2 TDs) · 1 game ago	TE11	TE10	−1	3 / 5	—	4.5 catches bet under 4.5 · 43.5 rec yds
T.J. Hockenson MIN	28%	+310	Wk 1 · 3 games ago	TE16	TE16	−2	1 / 4	—	no line yet
Noah Fant NO Questionable	9%	+700	Wk 3 (2 TDs) · last game	TE32	TE34	−2	3 / 6	—	no line yet
Gavin Bartholomew MIN	—	—	None yet	TE73	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Josh Oliver MIN Out	—	—	2025 Wk 14 (2 TDs) · 6 games ago	—	—	—	0 / 4	—	no line yet

Defenses 2

Defense	Facing	Rank this week	Sacks a game	INTs a game	Fumbles recovered a game	Defensive TDs	Points allowed a game	Opponent expected points
Vikings	Saints	DST2	3.2	0.6	0.6	0	17.9	20.5
Saints	Vikings	DST16	2.4	0.6	0.6	1	22.9	22.0

Kickers 2

Kicker	Rank this week	Field goals a game	Made	FG%	Long	From 50+	Points a game	Team expected points
Will Reichard MIN	K3	2.18	37 of 39	95%	59	11	8.2	22.0
Daniel Carlson NO	K21	1.18	20 of 25	80%	60	4	5.0	20.5

Sun Noon CT

Giants at Commanders

Commanders by 4 · over/under 41.5-42

Expected points: Giants 18.9, Commanders 22.9 · Outdoors

Projected score

Giants 16, Commanders 20

Commanders win 61% of the time

Weather at kickoff and through the game

Rain likely: up to 69% 68°F at kickoff · overcast · rain 69% at kickoff · wind ESE 8 mph, gusts to 22. Forecast updated Sat 12:30 PM CT.

Our bets in this game

Under 42.5 points 0.25u
Jacory Croskey-Merritt under 55.5 rushing yards 0.25u
Malachi Fields under 2.5 catches 0.25u
Najee Harris to score a TD 0.1u

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Giants at Commanders
	Giants	Commanders
Offense	4	2.6
Defense	5.5	2.89

Giants

Offense

Jaxson Dart QB IR reserve list

Defense

Chauncey Golston DE Out neck first game out
Jason Pinnock FS Out concussion first game out
Paulson Adebo CB IR reserve list
Brian Burns OLB IR reserve list
Roy Robertson-Harris DT IR reserve list

Commanders

Offense

Stefon Diggs WR Out hamstring first game out
Laremy Tunsil T IR reserve list
Terry McLaurin WR Questionable hamstring 35% chance he sits

Defense

Charles Omenihu DE Out groin first game out
Nick Cross SS Out illness
Trey Amos CB IR ankle 50% chance he sits

Most likely to score a TD

Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS RB30%
Stefon Diggs WAS WR27%
Jayden Daniels WAS QB26%
Cam Skattebo NYG RB25%
Najee Harris NYG RB21%

Our prop leans

Cam Skattebo under 2.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -170 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -160 (ESPN BET)

Players

Quarterbacks 5

Quarterback	Over/under lines	Rank this week	Pass yds a game	TD passes a game	INTs a game	Rushing TDs	Last rushing TD	Games
Jayden Daniels WAS	198.5 pass yds · 30.5 rush yds	QB10	155.6	1.14	0.43	2	2025 Wk 9 · 3 games ago	7
Jameis Winston NYG	199.5 pass yds · 2.5 rush yds	QB22	174.3	0.83	0.83	1	2025 Wk 12 · 4 games ago	6
Marcus Mariota WAS Questionable	no line yet	QB38	152.0	1.0	0.55	0	2025 Wk 3 · 12 games ago	11
Athan Kaliakmanis WAS	no line yet	QB39	186.0	1.0	1.0	0	None yet	1
Jaxson Dart NYG Out	no line yet	—	185.5	1.31	0.38	8	2025 Wk 17 (2 TDs) · 3 games ago	13

Running backs 8

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Cam Skattebo NYG Questionable	25%	+130	Wk 1 · 3 games ago	RB18	RB16	−3	1 / 8	—	56.5 rush yds · 15.5 carries · 2.5 catches lean under
Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS Questionable	30%	+155	Wk 1 · 3 games ago	RB23	RB25	+4	1 / 7	—	55.5 rush yds bet under 55.5 · 13.5 carries
Najee Harris NYG	21%	+425	None yet	RB47	RB49	−6	0 / 0	—	29.5 rush yds
Rachaad White WAS Questionable	11%	+215	Wk 3 · last game	RB52	RB31	−22	1 / 4	—	no line yet
Austin Ekeler WAS	11%	+500	None yet	RB54	RB65	+10	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Devin Singletary NYG	6%	+1100	Wk 1 · 1 game ago	RB81	RB60	—	1 / 6	—	no line yet
Kaytron Allen WAS	—	—	None yet	RB82	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Patrick Ricard NYG	2%	+2800	None yet	RB85	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet

Receivers 9

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Malik Nabers NYG Questionable	6%	+220	Wk 4 · last game	WR14	WR14	−2	1 / 3	—	5.5 catches · 55.5 rec yds
Stefon Diggs WAS Questionable	27%	+185	Wk 2 (2 TDs) · 2 games ago	WR27	—	—	3 / 7	—	no line yet
Antonio Williams WAS	14%	+330	Wk 1 · 3 games ago	WR47	WR53	−3	1 / 1	—	no line yet
Malachi Fields NYG	20%	+500	Wk 4 · last game	WR56	WR69	+5	1 / 1	—	2.5 catches bet under 2.5 · 27.5 rec yds
Terry McLaurin WAS Questionable	10%	+185	Wk 3 · last game	WR67	WR26	+1	1 / 4	—	no line yet
Darnell Mooney NYG	13%	+750	2025 Wk 12 · 10 games ago	WR76	WR85	+8	0 / 1	—	1.5 catches · 17.5 rec yds
Treylon Burks WAS	10%	+460	Wk 4 · last game	WR93	WR106	+10	2 / 3	—	no line yet
Dyami Brown WAS	11%	+500	2025 Wk 2 · 13 games ago	WR97	—	—	0 / 1	—	no line yet
Odell Beckham Jr. NYG	—	—	None yet	—	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet

Tight ends 6

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Isaiah Likely NYG Questionable	19%	+250	Wk 1 (2 TDs) · 3 games ago	TE7	TE11	+3	2 / 3	—	4.5 catches · 41.5 rec yds
Chig Okonkwo WAS Questionable	13%	+330	2025 Wk 17 · 3 games ago	TE29	TE27	−2	0 / 2	Tough	no line yet
Theo Johnson NYG	9%	+950	Wk 4 · last game	TE34	TE38	+0	1 / 6	—	no line yet
John Bates WAS	6%	+1600	2025 Wk 18 · 2 games ago	TE60	TE54	—	0 / 1	Tough	no line yet
Ben Sinnott WAS	4%	+1800	2025 Wk 10 · 7 games ago	TE67	TE48	—	0 / 1	Tough	no line yet
Colson Yankoff WAS	—	—	None yet	TE78	—	—	0 / 0	Tough	no line yet

Defenses 2

Defense	Facing	Rank this week	Sacks a game	INTs a game	Fumbles recovered a game	Defensive TDs	Points allowed a game	Opponent expected points
Commanders	Giants	DST9	2.3	0.6	0.2	1	28.4	20.0
Giants	Commanders	DST18	1.9	0.7	0.5	1	24.5	23.5

Kickers 2

Kicker	Rank this week	Field goals a game	Made	FG%	Long	From 50+	Points a game	Team expected points
Drew Stevens WAS	K23	1.75	7 of 9	78%	57	2	7.0	23.5
Dominic Zvada NYG	K24	2.25	9 of 9	100%	52	3	8.0	20.0

Sunday afternoon Sun, Oct 11

Sun 3:05 PM CT

Broncos at Chargers

Broncos by 3.5 · over/under 42

Expected points: Broncos 22.8, Chargers 19.2 · Dome

Projected score

Broncos 23, Chargers 19

Broncos win 61% of the time

Weather

Indoors Weather isn't a factor.

Our bets in this game

Chargers +3.5 0.5u
Chargers to win 0.25u
Jaylen Waddle under 4.5 catches 0.25u
Troy Franklin under 1.5 catches 0.25u
Kimani Vidal to score a TD 0.1u

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Broncos at Chargers
	Broncos	Chargers
Offense	1	7.02
Defense	1.3	3.27

Broncos

Offense

Pat Bryant WR IR ankle first game out

Defense

Riley Moss CB Out ribs first game out

Chargers

Offense

Joe Alt T Out neck first game out
Quentin Johnston WR Out chest first game out
Kayode Awosika G Out fibula
Trevor Penning G Out concussion first game out
Trey Pipkins T IR reserve list
Branson Taylor G IR neck
Charlie Kolar TE Questionable forearm 31% chance he sits

Defense

Donte Jackson CB Out hamstring first game out
Derwin James SS Out hamstring
Denzel Perryman ILB IR reserve list

Most likely to score a TD

J.K. Dobbins DEN RB38%
Jaylen Waddle DEN WR31%
Keaton Mitchell LAC RB31%
Courtland Sutton DEN WR29%
RJ Harvey DEN RB24%

Our prop leans

Jaylen Waddle under 4.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -121 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -114 (FanDuel)
Troy Franklin under 1.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -115 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -110 (DraftKings)
Courtland Sutton under 3.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -139 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -135 (Hard Rock)

Players

Quarterbacks 2

Quarterback	Over/under lines	Rank this week	Pass yds a game	TD passes a game	INTs a game	Rushing TDs	Last rushing TD	Games
Bo Nix DEN	220.5 pass yds · 14.5 rush yds	QB12	234.5	1.5	0.69	5	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	16
Justin Herbert LAC	199.5 pass yds · 24.5 rush yds	QB24	217.1	1.38	0.94	2	2025 Wk 16 · 6 games ago	16

Running backs 7

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Omarion Hampton LAC	22%	+170	Wk 4 · last game	RB25	RB19	−4	3 / 8	—	37.5 rush yds · 10.5 carries
J.K. Dobbins DEN	38%	+145	2025 Wk 5 · 9 games ago	RB27	RB34	+6	0 / 4	—	49.5 rush yds · 13.5 carries
RJ Harvey DEN	24%	+200	2025 Wk 17 · 6 games ago	RB29	RB21	−8	0 / 11	—	22.5 rush yds · 4.5 catches
Keaton Mitchell LAC	31%	+310	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	RB34	RB37	−1	1 / 2	—	32.5 rush yds · 7.5 carries
Kimani Vidal LAC	21%	+550	Wk 4 · last game	RB50	RB52	+0	1 / 5	—	no line yet
Tyler Badie DEN	11%	+800	None yet	RB62	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Jonah Coleman DEN Out	—	—	Wk 2 · last game	—	—	—	1 / 1	—	no line yet

Receivers 11

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Jaylen Waddle DEN	31%	+210	Wk 4 · last game	WR19	WR18	−6	1 / 5	—	4.5 catches bet under 4.5 · 53.5 rec yds
Courtland Sutton DEN	29%	+225	—	WR39	WR37	−6	0 / 5	—	3.5 catches lean under · 36.5 rec yds
Tre Harris LAC	21%	—	2025 Wk 8 · 14 games ago	WR42	WR41	+2	0 / 1	—	no line yet
Quentin Johnston LAC Questionable	22%	+290	2025 Wk 16 · 6 games ago	WR71	WR48	—	0 / 6	—	no line yet
Troy Franklin DEN	16%	+650	2025 Wk 15 · 6 games ago	WR81	WR82	+4	0 / 5	—	1.5 catches bet under 1.5 · 19.5 rec yds
Ladd McConkey LAC Questionable	2%	+240	Wk 1 · 3 games ago	WR84	WR29	—	1 / 7	—	no line yet
Marvin Mims Jr. DEN	11%	+850	—	WR90	WR93	+7	0 / 3	—	1.5 catches · 12.5 rec yds
Marquez Valdes-Scantling LAC	5%	+1200	2025 Wk 15 · 6 games ago	WR102	—	—	0 / 1	—	no line yet
Brenen Thompson LAC Questionable	—	—	None yet	WR138	WR98	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Lil'Jordan Humphrey DEN	—	—	—	WR141	—	—	0 / 2	—	no line yet
Pat Bryant DEN Questionable	0%	—	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	WR143	—	—	1 / 2	—	no line yet

Tight ends 6

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Oronde Gadsden II LAC	21%	+360	Wk 2 · 2 games ago	TE22	TE18	−4	1 / 4	—	no line yet
Evan Engram DEN	12%	+525	Wk 1 · 3 games ago	TE30	TE28	−4	1 / 1	Tough	2.5 catches · 17.5 rec yds
Nate Adkins DEN	8%	+1200	Wk 3 · last game	TE58	—	—	2 / 3	Tough	no line yet
Adam Trautman DEN	6%	+1000	2025 Wk 2 · 12 games ago	TE59	—	—	0 / 1	Tough	no line yet
Charlie Kolar LAC Questionable	—	—	2025 Wk 9 · 7 games ago	TE68	TE33	—	0 / 2	—	no line yet
David Njoku LAC Out	—	—	2025 Wk 14 · 2 games ago	—	—	—	0 / 4	—	no line yet

Defenses 2

Defense	Facing	Rank this week	Sacks a game	INTs a game	Fumbles recovered a game	Defensive TDs	Points allowed a game	Opponent expected points
Broncos	Chargers	DST4	3.2	0.9	0.2	2	20.6	19.5
Chargers	Broncos	DST23	2.7	1.2	0.4	0	21.4	23.0

Kickers 2

Kicker	Rank this week	Field goals a game	Made	FG%	Long	From 50+	Points a game	Team expected points
Wil Lutz DEN	K20	1.71	29 of 36	81%	54	4	7.1	23.0
Cameron Dicker LAC	K26	2.12	36 of 41	88%	59	4	8.2	19.5

Sun 3:25 PM CT

Lions at Cardinals

Lions by 5.5 · over/under 54.5

Expected points: Lions 30, Cardinals 24.5 · Retractable roof

Projected score

Lions 30, Cardinals 24

Lions win 65% of the time

Weather

Retractable roof The roof closes for bad weather, so weather isn't a factor.

Our bets in this game

Marvin Harrison Jr. under 2.5 catches 0.25u
Kendrick Bourne under 2.5 catches 0.25u
Jameson Williams to score a TD 0.1u

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Lions at Cardinals
	Lions	Cardinals
Offense	0.75	3.51
Defense	5.51	2.55

Lions

Offense

Ben Bartch G Out foot

Defense

Rock Ya-Sin CB Out hamstring first game out
Brian Branch SS IR achilles
Thomas Harper FS IR reserve list
Kerby Joseph FS IR reserve list
Avonte Maddox FS IR reserve list
Tyleik Williams DT Questionable foot 26% chance he sits

Cardinals

Offense

Isaiah Adams G Out ankle first game out
Paris Johnson T IR reserve list first game out
Trey Benson RB IR reserve list
James Conner RB IR reserve list

Defense

Andrew Wingard FS Out knee first game out
Will Johnson CB IR reserve list
Walter Nolen DT Questionable calf 26% chance he sits

Most likely to score a TD

Jahmyr Gibbs DET RB75%
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET WR57%
Trey McBride ARI TE46%
Michael Wilson ARI WR46%
Jameson Williams DET WR31%

Our prop leans

Michael Wilson under 5.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at +113 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT +120 (Hard Rock)
Jahmyr Gibbs under 4.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -104 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT +102 (FanDuel)
Amon-Ra St. Brown under 7.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -132 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -125 (ESPN BET)
Sam LaPorta under 4.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at +113 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT +119 (DraftKings)
Marvin Harrison Jr. under 2.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at +105 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT +110 (ESPN BET)
Kendrick Bourne under 2.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -141 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -135 (ESPN BET)

Players

Quarterbacks 2

Quarterback	Over/under lines	Rank this week	Pass yds a game	TD passes a game	INTs a game	Rushing TDs	Last rushing TD	Games
Jared Goff DET	279.5 pass yds · 0.5 rush yds	QB3	285.2	2.0	0.35	0	None yet	17
Jacoby Brissett ARI	269.5 pass yds · 7.5 rush yds	QB6	246.1	1.71	0.71	2	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	17

Running backs 4

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Jahmyr Gibbs DET	75%	-400	Wk 4 · last game	RB1	RB1	+0	7 / 21	Good	90.5 rush yds · 19.5 carries · 4.5 catches lean under
Jeremiyah Love ARI Questionable	28%	-118	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	RB19	RB12	−5	2 / 2	—	45.5 rush yds · 12.5 carries · 2.5 catches
Tyler Allgeier ARI	23%	+220	Wk 4 · last game	RB37	RB35	−1	1 / 7	—	25.5 rush yds · 6.5 carries · 1.5 catches
Sione Vaki DET	11%	+700	None yet	RB59	—	—	0 / 0	Good	no line yet

Receivers 7

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET	57%	-135	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	WR3	WR4	−1	5 / 10	Good	7.5 catches lean under · 79.5 rec yds
Michael Wilson ARI	46%	+175	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	WR9	WR25	+14	1 / 7	—	5.5 catches lean under · 74.5 rec yds
Jameson Williams DET	31%	+185	2025 Wk 15 · 7 games ago	WR16	WR21	+1	0 / 6	Good	3.5 catches · 51.5 rec yds
Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI	23%	+310	Wk 4 · last game	WR41	WR43	−4	1 / 5	—	2.5 catches bet under 2.5 · 34.5 rec yds
Isaac TeSlaa DET	20%	+450	2025 Wk 17 · 5 games ago	WR53	WR61	+1	0 / 5	Good	2.5 catches · 25.5 rec yds
Kendrick Bourne ARI	21%	+550	None yet	WR58	WR75	+5	0 / 0	—	2.5 catches bet under 2.5 · 23.5 rec yds
Jackson Meeks DET	—	—	None yet	WR164	—	—	0 / 0	Good	no line yet

Tight ends 4

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Trey McBride ARI	46%	+115	Wk 2 · 2 games ago	TE2	TE2	+0	2 / 12	Good	7.5 catches · 80.5 rec yds
Sam LaPorta DET	30%	+180	Wk 4 · last game	TE3	TE6	+3	2 / 5	—	4.5 catches lean under · 51.5 rec yds
Elijah Higgins ARI	8%	+1200	Wk 4 · last game	TE47	—	—	1 / 1	Good	no line yet
Brock Wright DET	8%	+700	2025 Wk 5 · 8 games ago	TE54	—	—	0 / 2	—	no line yet

Defenses 2

Defense	Facing	Rank this week	Sacks a game	INTs a game	Fumbles recovered a game	Defensive TDs	Points allowed a game	Opponent expected points
Lions	Cardinals	DST20	2.9	0.7	0.3	0	26.6	25.0
Cardinals	Lions	DST30	1.8	0.6	0.6	0	31.2	29.5

Kickers 2

Kicker	Rank this week	Field goals a game	Made	FG%	Long	From 50+	Points a game	Team expected points
Jake Bates DET	K4	1.65	28 of 33	85%	59	4	7.9	29.5
Chad Ryland ARI	K15	1.47	25 of 32	78%	60	5	6.6	25.0

Sun 3:25 PM CT

49ers at Seahawks

Seahawks by 3 · over/under 46-46.5

Expected points: 49ers 21.6, Seahawks 24.6 · Outdoors

Projected score

49ers 21, Seahawks 24

Seahawks win 59% of the time

Weather at kickoff and through the game

No weather worries 59°F at kickoff · clear · little or no rain expected · wind N 9 mph, gusts to 20. Forecast updated Sat 12:30 PM CT.

Our bets in this game

Seahawks -3 0.5u
Christian McCaffrey under 4.5 catches 0.25u
Deebo Samuel under 3.5 catches 0.25u
Cooper Kupp to score a TD 0.1u

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, 49ers at Seahawks
	49ers	Seahawks
Offense	2.04	1.52
Defense	4.59	0.02

49ers

Offense

Ricky Pearsall WR IR reserve list
Demarcus Robinson WR IR reserve list

Defense

Nick Bosa DE Out knee
Marques Sigle SS Out ankle first game out
Sam Okuayinonu DE IR reserve list
Mykel Williams DE IR knee 44% chance he sits
Upton Stout CB Questionable shoulder 42% chance he sits

Seahawks

Offense

Anthony Bradford G IR reserve list
Zach Charbonnet RB IR knee

Most likely to score a TD

Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA WR57%
Christian McCaffrey SF RB52%
Emanuel Wilson SEA RB35%
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF WR30%
George Kittle SF TE29%

Our prop leans

Deebo Samuel under 3.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -108 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -102 (FanDuel)
AJ Barner under 2.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -122 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -115 (BetMGM)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba under 6.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -108 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -102 (FanDuel)
Christian McCaffrey under 4.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -103 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT +101 (DraftKings)
Cooper Kupp under 2.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -139 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -135 (ESPN BET)

Players

Quarterbacks 4

Quarterback	Over/under lines	Rank this week	Pass yds a game	TD passes a game	INTs a game	Rushing TDs	Last rushing TD	Games
Brock Purdy SF	226.5 pass yds · 21.5 rush yds	QB9	230.0	2.23	0.77	4	Wk 2 · 2 games ago	13
Sam Darnold SEA	225.5 pass yds · 4.5 rush yds	QB16	220.4	1.5	0.81	0	None yet	16
Drew Lock SEA	no line yet	QB35	105.5	1.0	0.0	0	None yet	4
Mac Jones SF	no line yet	QB36	100.3	0.78	0.33	0	None yet	9

Running backs 6

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Christian McCaffrey SF	52%	-139	Wk 4 · last game	RB6	RB8	−1	4 / 19	—	51.5 rush yds · 14.5 carries · 4.5 catches bet under 4.5
Emanuel Wilson SEA	35%	-115	Wk 4 (2 TDs) · last game	RB16	RB32	+16	2 / 5	—	62.5 rush yds · 16.5 carries · 1.5 catches
George Holani SEA Questionable	20%	+310	2025 Wk 10 · 7 games ago	RB41	RB59	+15	0 / 1	—	19.5 rush yds · 1.5 catches
Kaelon Black SF	9%	+800	None yet	RB45	RB38	−8	0 / 0	—	14.5 rush yds
Jadarian Price SEA Out	—	—	None yet	—	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Brady Russell SEA	—	—	None yet	—	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet

Receivers 9

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA	57%	-105	Wk 3 (2 TDs) · 1 game ago	WR1	WR1	+0	6 / 14	—	6.5 catches lean under · 92.5 rec yds
Mike Evans SF Questionable	23%	+200	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	WR20	WR23	+1	2 / 5	—	3.5 catches · 48.5 rec yds
Deebo Samuel Sr. SF	30%	—	Wk 4 · last game	WR24	WR31	+1	3 / 7	—	3.5 catches bet under 3.5 · 34.5 rec yds
Rashid Shaheed SEA	25%	+330	Wk 4 · last game	WR50	WR49	−2	1 / 1	—	1.5 catches · 20.5 rec yds
Cooper Kupp SEA	24%	+380	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	WR59	WR68	+6	1 / 3	—	2.5 catches lean under · 25.5 rec yds
Tory Horton SEA	13%	+625	Wk 4 · last game	WR92	WR78	−8	1 / 6	—	1.5 catches · 9.5 rec yds
Jordan Watkins SF	6%	+1500	None yet	WR99	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Brandin Cooks SF	7%	+900	None yet	WR108	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Demarcus Robinson SF Out	—	—	Wk 1 · 1 game ago	—	—	—	1 / 3	—	no line yet

Tight ends 3

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
George Kittle SF	29%	+185	Wk 4 · last game	TE4	TE5	+1	4 / 11	—	4.5 catches · 54.5 rec yds
AJ Barner SEA	21%	+310	Wk 2 · 2 games ago	TE23	TE26	+1	1 / 5	—	2.5 catches lean under · 24.5 rec yds
Elijah Arroyo SEA	6%	+1000	2025 Wk 9 · 6 games ago	TE52	TE42	—	0 / 1	—	no line yet

Defenses 2

Defense	Facing	Rank this week	Sacks a game	INTs a game	Fumbles recovered a game	Defensive TDs	Points allowed a game	Opponent expected points
Seahawks	49ers	DST13	2.6	1.1	0.8	2	16.2	22.0
49ers	Seahawks	DST25	1.3	0.4	0.4	1	21.6	24.5

Kickers 2

Kicker	Rank this week	Field goals a game	Made	FG%	Long	From 50+	Points a game	Team expected points
Jason Myers SEA	K7	2.41	41 of 44	93%	57	6	10.1	24.5
Eddy Pineiro SF	K13	1.33	20 of 23	87%	57	5	6.9	22.0

Sunday night Sun, Oct 11

Sun 7:20 PM CT · Sunday Night Football

Ravens at Falcons

Falcons by 3.5 · over/under 43.5

Expected points: Ravens 20, Falcons 23.5 · Retractable roof

Projected score

Ravens 20, Falcons 23

Falcons win 60% of the time

Weather

Retractable roof The roof closes for bad weather, so weather isn't a factor.

Our bets in this game

Under 43.5 points 0.25u
Zay Flowers under 5.5 catches 0.25u
Derrick Henry under 85.5 rushing yards 0.25u
Drake London to score a TD 0.1u

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Ravens at Falcons
	Ravens	Falcons
Offense	5.87	0.19
Defense	1.46	3.92

Ravens

Offense

Lamar Jackson QB Out ankle first game out
Jovaughn Gwyn C IR reserve list
Durham Smythe TE IR achilles first game out

Defense

Trey Hendrickson OLB Out finger
Marlon Humphrey CB Questionable hamstring 36% chance he sits

Falcons

Offense

Jake Matthews T Questionable groin 15% chance he sits

Defense

AJ Terrell CB IR reserve list
James Pearce OLB IR reserve list
Jalon Walker OLB IR reserve list
Samson Ebukam DE Questionable hamstring 31% chance he sits
Divine Deablo ILB Questionable hamstring 28% chance he sits

Most likely to score a TD

Bijan Robinson ATL RB63%
Derrick Henry BAL RB51%
Drake London ATL WR39%
Lamar Jackson BAL QB27%
Brian Robinson Jr. ATL RB24%

Our prop leans

Mark Andrews under 3.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -102 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT +104 (FanDuel)
Drake London under 5.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at +104 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT +110 (Hard Rock)
Zay Flowers under 5.5 catches
The way he has been used lately points to fewer catches than the sportsbook's number.
Worth it at -127 or better · best price Thu 5:28 PM CT -120 (BetMGM)

Players

Quarterbacks 5

Quarterback	Over/under lines	Rank this week	Pass yds a game	TD passes a game	INTs a game	Rushing TDs	Last rushing TD	Games
Michael Penix Jr. ATL	214.5 pass yds · 0.5 rush yds	QB26	220.4	1.14	0.14	0	2025 Wk 1 · 10 games ago	7
Tyler Huntley BAL	174.5 pass yds	QB27	81.5	0.33	0.0	0	None yet	6
Lamar Jackson BAL Questionable	no line yet	QB31	203.6	1.31	0.54	2	Wk 1 · 3 games ago	13
Cooper Rush ATL	no line yet	QB41	120.0	0.25	2.0	0	None yet	4
Jack Strand ATL	no line yet	—	59.0	0.0	1.0	0	None yet	1

Running backs 4

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Bijan Robinson ATL	63%	-225	Wk 4 (2 TDs) · last game	RB2	RB2	+0	5 / 14	—	89.5 rush yds · 18.5 carries · 3.5 catches
Derrick Henry BAL	51%	-150	Wk 4 · last game	RB5	RB4	−1	7 / 20	—	85.5 rush yds bet under 85.5 · 20.5 carries
Brian Robinson ATL	24%	+240	Wk 4 (3 TDs) · last game	RB33	RB36	+4	4 / 6	—	34.5 rush yds · 9.5 carries
Justice Hill BAL	14%	+800	2025 Wk 10 · 4 games ago	RB53	RB64	+3	0 / 3	—	11.5 rush yds

Receivers 11

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Drake London ATL	39%	+125	2025 Wk 18 · 4 games ago	WR6	WR8	+1	0 / 7	Tough	5.5 catches lean under · 81.5 rec yds
Zay Flowers BAL Questionable	17%	+205	Wk 4 · last game	WR10	WR6	−5	2 / 7	—	5.5 catches bet under 5.5 · 68.5 rec yds
Rashod Bateman BAL	10%	+525	Wk 2 · 2 games ago	WR54	WR57	−5	1 / 3	—	1.5 catches · 17.5 rec yds
Jahan Dotson ATL	16%	+550	Wk 4 · last game	WR74	WR84	+10	1 / 2	Tough	1.5 catches · 19.5 rec yds
Zachariah Branch ATL	8%	+1300	None yet	WR94	WR91	−1	0 / 0	Tough	no line yet
Olamide Zaccheaus ATL	10%	+900	—	WR95	WR104	+6	0 / 3	Tough	no line yet
Devontez Walker BAL	6%	+1050	2025 Wk 18 · 3 games ago	WR98	—	—	0 / 3	—	no line yet
Elijah Sarratt BAL	5%	+2250	None yet	WR105	WR89	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Chris Moore BAL	3%	+1800	Wk 3 · last game	WR110	—	—	1 / 2	—	no line yet
LaJohntay Wester BAL	2%	+1900	None yet	WR126	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet
Ja'Kobi Lane BAL Out	—	—	None yet	—	—	—	0 / 0	—	no line yet

Tight ends 5

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Mark Andrews BAL	20%	+300	Wk 4 · last game	TE13	TE17	+3	1 / 5	—	3.5 catches lean under · 29.5 rec yds
Kyle Pitts ATL	16%	—	2025 Wk 16 · 6 games ago	TE25	TE21	−5	0 / 4	Tough	2.5 catches · 24.5 rec yds
Matthew Hibner BAL	—	—	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	TE37	TE40	—	1 / 1	—	no line yet
Austin Hooper ATL	8%	+950	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	TE43	—	—	1 / 3	Tough	no line yet
Charlie Woerner ATL	3%	+2200	None yet	TE76	—	—	0 / 0	Tough	no line yet

Defenses 2

Defense	Facing	Rank this week	Sacks a game	INTs a game	Fumbles recovered a game	Defensive TDs	Points allowed a game	Opponent expected points
Ravens	Falcons	DST15	1.9	0.7	0.6	1	21.2	23.5
Falcons	Ravens	DST17	3.2	0.8	0.4	1	23.9	20.0

Kickers 2

Kicker	Rank this week	Field goals a game	Made	FG%	Long	From 50+	Points a game	Team expected points
Tyler Loop BAL	K14	1.71	29 of 35	83%	64	3	7.7	20.0
Nick Folk ATL	K18	1.69	27 of 31	87%	56	4	6.6	23.5

Monday night Mon, Oct 12

Mon 7:15 PM CT · Monday Night Football

Bills at Rams

Rams by 3.5 · over/under 54.5

Expected points: Bills 25.5, Rams 29 · Dome

Projected score

Bills 25, Rams 29

Rams win 60% of the time

Weather

Indoors Weather isn't a factor.

Our bets in this game

Rams -3 0.5u
Under 54.5 points 0.75u
Dalton Kincaid under 52.5 receiving yards 0.25u
Khalil Shakir to score a TD 0.1u

Injury report: starters only

Injury scores, Bills at Rams
	Bills	Rams
Offense	1.61	0.81
Defense	1.48	3.06

Bills

Offense

Tyrell Shavers WR IR reserve list

Starters on this week’s practice report, most likely to sit first:

Dee Alford CB No practice all week ankle 90% chance he sits
D.J. Moore WR No practice all week shoulder 61% chance he sits
Christian Benford CB Limited toe 28% chance he sits

Game-day statuses aren’t out yet.

Rams

Offense

Terrance Ferguson TE IR ankle

Defense

Myles Garrett OLB IR reserve list

Starters on this week’s practice report, most likely to sit first:

Josaiah Stewart OLB No practice all week groin 86% chance he sits
Quentin Lake FS No practice all week hip 71% chance he sits
Jaylen Watson CB Limited shoulder 34% chance he sits
Aaron Donald DT Full practice back 6% chance he sits

Game-day statuses aren’t out yet.

Most likely to score a TD

Kyren Williams LA RB63%
Puka Nacua LA WR52%
Josh Allen BUF QB48%
Davante Adams LA WR38%
Khalil Shakir BUF WR34%

Our prop leans

No prop leans in this game yet.

Players

Quarterbacks 3

Quarterback	Over/under lines	Rank this week	Pass yds a game	TD passes a game	INTs a game	Rushing TDs	Last rushing TD	Games
Josh Allen BUF	244.5 pass yds · 36.5 rush yds	QB1	241.6	1.5	0.69	20	Wk 4 · last game	16
Matthew Stafford LA	277.5 pass yds · 0.5 rush yds	QB4	292.1	2.41	0.76	0	None yet	17
Stetson Bennett LA	no line yet	—	13.0	0.0	0.0	0	None yet	1

Running backs 5

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Kyren Williams LA	63%	-170	Wk 4 (2 TDs) · last game	RB4	RB10	+6	4 / 16	Good	68.5 rush yds · 14.5 carries · 2.5 catches
James Cook BUF	10%	—	Wk 4 · last game	RB9	RB5	−3	3 / 12	—	75.5 rush yds · 17.5 carries · 1.5 catches
Blake Corum LA	28%	+270	2025 Wk 16 · 9 games ago	RB32	RB20	−16	0 / 5	Good	31.5 rush yds
Ty Johnson BUF	22%	+650	2025 Wk 18 (2 TDs) · 2 games ago	RB51	RB75	+14	0 / 5	—	2.5 catches
Ronnie Rivers LA Out	—	—	None yet	—	—	—	0 / 0	Good	no line yet

Receivers 9

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Puka Nacua LA	52%	-124	Wk 4 · last game	WR2	WR3	+0	1 / 13	—	7.5 catches · 94.5 rec yds
Davante Adams LA	38%	-104	Wk 2 (2 TDs) · 2 games ago	WR8	WR19	+6	2 / 14	—	4.5 catches · 62.5 rec yds
Keon Coleman BUF	30%	+280	Wk 4 · last game	WR33	WR47	+3	1 / 5	—	2.5 catches · 37.5 rec yds
Khalil Shakir BUF	34%	+250	2025 Wk 14 · 9 games ago	WR35	WR39	+3	0 / 2	—	4.5 catches · 43.5 rec yds
Josh Palmer BUF	—	—	Wk 2 · 1 game ago	WR72	WR72	−8	2 / 2	—	no line yet
DJ Moore BUF Questionable	5%	+195	Wk 1 · 3 games ago	WR75	WR20	−42	1 / 9	—	no line yet
Konata Mumpfield LA	9%	+850	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	WR96	WR70	−22	1 / 2	—	0.5 catches · 7.5 rec yds
Jordan Whittington LA	7%	+1150	None yet	WR103	—	—	0 / 0	—	0.5 catches · 5.5 rec yds
Tutu Atwell LA	2%	+1700	2025 Wk 4 · 6 games ago	WR112	WR94	−2	0 / 1	—	no line yet

Tight ends 7

Player	TD chance	TD odds	Last TD	Rank this week	Season rank	This week vs season	TDs 2026 / last 17	Matchup	Over/under lines
Dalton Kincaid BUF	32%	+215	Wk 2 · 2 games ago	TE6	TE3	−3	1 / 7	—	4.5 catches · 50.5 rec yds bet under 52.5
Tyler Higbee LA	20%	+250	Wk 3 · 1 game ago	TE19	TE29	+14	1 / 4	—	2.5 catches · 25.5 rec yds
Dawson Knox BUF	16%	+650	Wk 2 · 2 games ago	TE36	TE44	—	1 / 4	—	1.5 catches · 10.5 rec yds
Colby Parkinson LA	20%	+275	—	TE40	TE36	—	0 / 9	—	1.5 catches · 16.5 rec yds
Davis Allen LA	8%	+850	2025 Wk 10 · 10 games ago	TE42	—	—	0 / 1	—	no line yet
Jackson Hawes BUF	7%	+1400	2025 Wk 14 · 4 games ago	TE64	—	—	0 / 3	—	no line yet
Terrance Ferguson LA Out	—	—	Wk 2 · 1 game ago	—	—	—	1 / 4	—	no line yet

Defenses 2

Defense	Facing	Rank this week	Sacks a game	INTs a game	Fumbles recovered a game	Defensive TDs	Points allowed a game	Opponent expected points
Rams	Bills	DST24	1.9	1.1	0.3	1	23.0	26.0
Bills	Rams	DST27	1.9	0.9	0.4	1	23.1	28.5

Kickers 2

Kicker	Rank this week	Field goals a game	Made	FG%	Long	From 50+	Points a game	Team expected points
Tyler Bass BUF	K9	1.5	6 of 6	100%	46	0	7.8	26.0
Harrison Mevis LA	K10	1.44	23 of 26	88%	52	2	7.9	28.5